Fixture Overview
- Competition: Italian Serie A
- Date & Time: November 24, 03:45 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Inter (€693.80m squad value) vs AC Milan (€471.50m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity:Inter’s squad value (€693.80m) significantly exceeds AC Milan’s (€471.50m), highlighting a substantial quality advantage for the home side.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 1.07 odds (High probability)
- Draw: 2.6 odds
- Away Win: 3.1 oddsInter are clear favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: 1X (Inter Win or Draw) – Odds: 0.29, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: Inter to Win (1) – Odds: 1.07, Rating: 8/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.38, Rating: 4/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 1.12, Rating: 3/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Under 4.5 Goals – Odds: 0.53, Rating: 4/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:0, Full-Time 2:0
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- xG (Expected Goals): Inter 2.15 vs AC Milan 1.09
- Ball Possession: Inter 63% vs AC Milan 37%
- Total Shots: Inter 16 vs AC Milan 8
- Shots on Goal: Inter 5 vs AC Milan 2
- Corners: Inter 5 vs AC Milan 2
- Yellow Cards: Both teams 1Inter is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Expected Goals: Inter 2.4 vs AC Milan 1.59
- Total Goals: Inter 3.0 vs AC Milan 2.4
- Goals Scored: Inter 2.4 vs AC Milan 1.7
- Goals Against: Inter 0.6 vs AC Milan 0.7
- Possession: Inter 61% vs AC Milan 53%
- Total Shots: Inter 18.7 vs AC Milan 13.6
- Shots on Goal: Inter 5.8 vs AC Milan 5.1Inter demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Inter 6 vs AC Milan 3
- Over 1.5 Goals: Inter 7 vs AC Milan 7
- Over 2.5 Goals: Inter 6 vs AC Milan 6
- Over 3.5 Goals: Inter 2 vs AC Milan 4
- Both Teams Scored: Inter 5 vs AC Milan 5
- Unexpected Results: None for either teamInter shows significantly better recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Inter leads 19W-10D-11L
- Recent Results:
- Apr 23, 2025: Inter 0-3 AC Milan
- Apr 2, 2025: AC Milan 1-1 Inter
- Feb 2, 2025: Inter 1-1 AC Milan
- Jan 6, 2025: AC Milan 2-3 Inter
- Sep 22, 2024: Inter 1-2 AC Milan
- Apr 22, 2024: AC Milan 1-2 Inter
- Sep 16, 2023: Inter 5-1 AC Milan
- May 16, 2023: AC Milan 1-0 Inter
- May 10, 2023: Inter 0-2 AC MilanInter maintains strong historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- Inter: Expected to dominate possession (63% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent defensive record (0.6 goals against average) provides solid foundation.
- AC Milan: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Underdogs based on squad value and form.
Special Considerations
- Warning: Inter has upcoming match in Europe which may affect team selection and performance
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: 1X (Inter Win or Draw) – 0.29 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 2:0 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Under 3.5 Goals – 0.38 odds, 4/10 rating
Final Prediction
Inter 2-0 AC Milan
Inter’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a comfortable victory. AC Milan’s defensive vulnerabilities (0.7 goals against average) suggest they will struggle to contain Inter’s attacking pressure.
