Ukraine vs Iceland: World Cup Qualification Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: FIFA World Cup Qualification (UEFA)
  • Date & Time: November 17, 01:00 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Ukraine (€274.00m squad value) vs Iceland (€81.40m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Disparity:Ukraine’s squad value (€274.00m) significantly exceeds Iceland’s (€81.40m), reflecting a substantial quality advantage for the home side.
  2. Probability & Odds Analysis:
    • Home Win: 0.8 odds (High probability)
    • Draw: 2.7 odds
    • Away Win: 4.5 oddsUkraine are clear favorites according to bookmakers
  3. AI Prediction Analysis:
    • Best Tip: Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 0.4, Rating: 9/10
    • Alternative: Ukraine to Win (1) – Odds: 0.8, Rating: 9/10
    • Total Goals: Over 1.5 – Odds: 0.4, Rating: 9/10
    • Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 1.05, Rating: 8/10
    • Bet Builder Tip: X2 & Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 1.95, Rating: 1/10
    • Score Prediction: Half-Time 0:2, Full-Time 2:3

Statistical Predictions

Based on the stats predictions chart:

  • Ball Possession: Ukraine 55% vs Iceland 45%
  • Total Shots: Ukraine 12 vs Iceland 7
  • Shots on Goal: Ukraine 5 vs Iceland 3
  • Shots Off Goal: Ukraine 4 vs Iceland 2
  • Corners: Ukraine 4 vs Iceland 2
  • Yellow Cards: Ukraine 2 vs Iceland 1Ukraine is expected to dominate most statistical categories

Average Match Data

  • Total Goals: Ukraine 3.8 vs Iceland 3.9
  • Goals Scored: Ukraine 1.7 vs Iceland 1.9
  • Goals Against: Ukraine 2.1 vs Iceland 2.0
  • Possession: Ukraine 47% vs Iceland 53%
  • Total Shots: Ukraine 10.1 vs Iceland 9.1
  • Shots on Goal: Ukraine 4.2 vs Iceland 4.3Iceland shows slightly better offensive metrics

Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)

  • Wins: Ukraine 5 vs Iceland 3
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Ukraine 10 vs Iceland 9
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Ukraine 8 vs Iceland 8
  • Over 3.5 Goals: Ukraine 6 vs Iceland 4
  • Both Teams Scored: Ukraine 7 vs Iceland 7
  • Unexpected Results: None for either teamUkraine shows better recent form

Head-to-Head Record

  • Historical Balance: Ukraine leads 2W-1D-1L
  • Recent Results:
    • Oct 10, 2025: Iceland 3-5 Ukraine
    • Mar 26, 2024: Iceland 2-1 Iceland
    • Sep 5, 2017: Iceland 2-0 Ukraine
    • Sep 5, 2016: Iceland 1-1 UkraineUkraine maintains slight historical advantage

Tactical Analysis

  • Ukraine: Expected to control possession (55% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create scoring opportunities. Solid offensive output (1.7 goals scored average) with defensive vulnerabilities (2.1 goals against average).
  • Iceland: Likely to adopt counter-attacking tactics, leverage better possession stats (53% average), and exploit Ukraine’s defensive weaknesses. Underdogs but capable of scoring.

Betting Recommendations

  • Safest Bet: Over 1.5 Goals – 0.4 odds, 9/10 rating
  • Alternative: Ukraine to Win – 0.8 odds, 9/10 rating
  • Value Bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes, 1.05 odds, 8/10 rating

Final Prediction

Ukraine 2-3 Iceland

Despite Ukraine’s squad value advantage, Iceland’s better recent form and offensive capabilities (1.9 goals scored average) suggest they can secure an away victory. Ukraine’s defensive vulnerabilities (2.1 goals against average) likely won’t withstand Iceland’s attacking pressure.

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