Fixture Overview
- Competition: English Premier League
- Date & Time: September 14, 22:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Burnley (€175.50m squad value) vs Liverpool (€923.25m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: Liverpool’s squad value (€923.25m) dramatically exceeds Burnley’s (€175.50m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 30% probability (8.5 odds)
- Draw: 27% probability (5.3 odds)
- Away Win: 43% probability (1.31 odds) Liverpool are clear favorites despite playing away
- Recent Form Analysis:
- Burnley Last 6:
- 1W-0D-2L in recent matches
- Avg Goals: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded
- 66% of matches Over 1.5 goals
- 66% of matches Under 3.5 goals
- Liverpool Last 6:
- 3W-0D-0L in recent matches
- Avg Goals: 2.7 scored, 1.7 conceded
- Strong away form with 3.0 goals per away game
- Burnley Last 6:
- Head-to-Head Record:
- Historical Dominance: Liverpool 5W-0D-1L
- Recent Results:
- Feb 2024: Liverpool 3-1 Burnley
- Dec 2023: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool
- Feb 2022: Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
- Avg Goals: 2.2 per match
- 100% of matches Over 1.5 goals
- 83% of matches Under 3.5 goals
AI Prediction Analysis
- Best Tip: Over 2.5 Goals – Strong recommendation
- Alternative: Liverpool Win (2) – 1.31 odds with 43% probability
- Score Prediction: 1-3 to Liverpool
- Double Chance: X2 (Draw or Liverpool Win)
Tactical Analysis
- Liverpool: Perfect recent form with 3 consecutive wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game. Exceptional away scoring record (3.0 goals per away game). Expected to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities.
- Burnley: Home performance shows potential (2-0 win vs Sunderland) but overall scoring efficiency limited (1.33 goals per game). Likely to adopt defensive tactics and seek counter-attacks.
Key Match Facts
- Liverpool positioned 1st in standings (9 points) vs Burnley’s 14th (3 points)
- 100% probability of match having Over 1.5 goals
- 83% probability of match staying Under 3.5 goals
- Liverpool’s perfect win record in last 6 matches
- Historical H2H heavily favors Liverpool (5 wins in last 6 encounters)
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – Strong AI recommendation
- Alternative: Liverpool to Win – 1.31 odds with 43% probability
- Score Prediction: 1-3 to Liverpool – Supported by current form and historical data
Final Prediction
Burnley 1-3 Liverpool
Liverpool’s superior squad value, perfect recent form, and historical dominance should secure a comfortable victory. Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities and Liverpool’s exceptional away scoring form (3.0 goals per game) suggest multiple goals for the visitors.
