Fixture Overview
- Competition: La Liga
- Date & Time: February 1, 21:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Real Madrid (€1.35bn squad value) vs Rayo Vallecano (€96.80m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Real Madrid’s squad valuation (€1.35bn) is approximately 14 times that of Rayo Vallecano (€96.80m), indicating an immense gap in financial resources and player quality.
- Market & Predictive Analysis: The predictive model strongly favors a home victory for Real Madrid.
Match Predictions & Key Tips
- Best Tip: Real Madrid to Win (1) – Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Real Madrid Win – Confidence: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 3.5 – Confidence: 10/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Confidence: 9/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – Confidence: 8/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:0
- Correct Score Prediction: 3:1
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
The data model forecasts overwhelming dominance for Real Madrid across all key metrics:
- Ball Possession: Real Madrid 69% vs Rayo Vallecano 31%
- Total Shots: Real Madrid 20 vs Rayo Vallecano 8
- Shots on Goal: Real Madrid 7 vs Rayo Vallecano 1
- Shots off Goal: Real Madrid 6 vs Rayo Vallecano 2
- Corners: Real Madrid 7 vs Rayo Vallecano 2
- Yellow Cards: Real Madrid 1 vs Rayo Vallecano 4 Real Madrid is projected to control the game, create a vastly superior volume of chances, and significantly out-shoot their opponents.
Seasonal Average Match Data (Overview)
Analysis of average per-match statistics reveals Real Madrid’s clear superiority:
- Total Goals (Avg): 2.8
- Goals Scored (Avg): 1.2
- Goals Conceded (Avg): 1.6
- Total Shots (Avg): 15.0
- Shots on Goal (Avg): 4.5
- Shots off Goal (Avg): 6.0
- Fouls (Avg): 12.7
- Offsides (Avg): 2.5
- Total Passes (Avg): 442 (Implied Rayo Vallecano: 554) The data highlights a competitive defensive record but suggests the team in question (Rayo Vallecano, based on passes) prioritizes possession. Real Madrid’s projected stats indicate they will dominate this aspect.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of a team’s recent form (context suggests Rayo Vallecano’s metrics):
- Wins: 4
- Over 1.5 Goals: 9 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 7 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 3 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 5 matches
- Unexpected Wins: 0
- Unexpected Losses: 0 The team is in reasonable form, frequently involved in matches with multiple goals.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record: Real Madrid 15 Wins, 4 Draws, Rayo Vallecano 2 Wins.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 09 Nov 2025: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real Madrid
- 09 Mar 2025: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
- 14 Dec 2024: Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid
- 18 Feb 2024: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid
- 05 Nov 2023: Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
- 24 May 2023: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Real Madrid
- 07 Nov 2022: Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Real Madrid
- 26 Feb 2022: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Real Madrid
- 06 Nov 2021: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
- 28 Apr 2019: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid holds a commanding historical advantage (15-4-2). However, recent matches have been tightly contested, with three of the last five meetings ending in draws, including the most recent one.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Real Madrid: The overwhelming favorite. Expected to dominate possession (69% predicted) and create a high volume of chances (20 shots predicted). Their superior individual quality is the decisive factor. The predicted 3-1 scoreline suggests a win where they may concede but outscore their opponent comfortably.
- Rayo Vallecano: Have proven to be a tricky opponent for Madrid in recent years, as shown by the H2H draws. They will likely employ a compact defensive block and look to counter. Their recent form shows they score and concede goals, supporting the “Both Teams to Score” prediction.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Real Madrid 3 – 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid are the clear favorites due to their immense squad value, predicted statistical dominance, and strong historical record. However, Rayo Vallecano’s recent resilience in this fixture—earning three draws in the last five encounters—cannot be ignored. This suggests the visitors are capable of making it difficult and finding the net, aligning with the “Both Teams to Score” tip. The most likely outcome is a Madrid victory in a match with goals at both ends.
Recommended Tips:
- Most Probable Outcome: Real Madrid to Win – The standout tip with maximum confidence (10/10), supported by all predictive data.
- Scorecast: Real Madrid 3-1 – The predicted correct score reflects Madrid’s expected attacking supremacy and Rayo’s potential to score.
- High-Confidence Alternative: Over 3.5 Total Goals – Also rated 10/10, aligning with the high-scoring nature of both teams’ recent forms and the predicted scoreline.
