Fixture Overview
- Competition: UEFA Champions League
- Date & Time: January 29, 04:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Atlético Madrid (€526.00m squad value) vs Bodø/Glimt (€57.78m squad value)
- Market Odds: Atlético Madrid (0.33) | Draw (5.3) | Bodø/Glimt (9.0)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Atlético Madrid’s squad valuation (€526.00m) is over nine times that of Bodø/Glimt (€57.78m), indicating a massive gulf in financial resources and player quality.
- Market Analysis: The betting market heavily favors a home victory for Atlético Madrid, reflecting their status as overwhelming favorites.
Match Predictions & Key Tips
- Best Tip: Atlético Madrid to Win (1) – Odds: 0.33, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Atlético Madrid Win (1) – Odds: 0.33, Confidence: 10/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.29, Confidence: 5/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.78, Confidence: 3/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Under 4.5 Goals – Odds: 0.28, Confidence: 8/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:0
- Correct Score Prediction: 2:1
Statistical Predictions
Pre-match data models forecast clear dominance for Atlético Madrid across key metrics:
- Expected Goals (xG): Atlético 1.35 vs Bodø/Glimt 1.18
- Ball Possession: Atlético 62% vs Bodø/Glimt 38%
- Total Shots: Atlético 16 vs Bodø/Glimt 7
- Shots on Target: Atlético 5 vs Bodø/Glimt 3
- Shots off Target: Atlético 5 vs Bodø/Glimt 1
- Corners: Atlético 5 vs Bodø/Glimt 3 Atlético Madrid is projected to control the game, create more shots, and enjoy significantly more possession.
Seasonal Average Match Data
Analysis of average per-match statistics reveals Atlético Madrid’s overall superiority:
- Expected Goals (xG): Atlético 1.36 vs Bodø/Glimt 2.12
- Total Goals (Avg): Atlético 2.8 vs Bodø/Glimt 4.0
- Goals Scored (Avg): Atlético 1.2 vs Bodø/Glimt 2.8
- Goals Conceded (Avg): Atlético 0.9 vs Bodø/Glimt 1.2
- Possession (Avg): Atlético 51% vs Bodø/Glimt 64%
- Total Shots (Avg): Atlético 14.1 vs Bodø/Glimt 5.3
- Shots on Target (Avg): Atlético 5.1 vs Bodø/Glimt 4.4
- Shots off Target (Avg): Atlético 4.4 vs Bodø/Glimt 7.3
- Fouls (Avg): Atlético 7.3 vs Bodø/Glimt 1.8
- Corners (Avg): Atlético 7.3 vs Bodø/Glimt 1.1
- Total Passes (Avg): Atlético 488 vs Bodø/Glimt 511 While Bodø/Glimt averages more goals and possession, Atlético Madrid shows greater defensive solidity and a much higher volume of shots, indicating a more direct and efficient attacking style.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of recent form for the highlighted team (data aligns with Atlético Madrid’s profile):
- Wins: 6 (Expected: 7)
- Over 1.5 Goals: 9 (Expected: 8)
- Over 2.5 Goals: 9 (Expected: 6)
- Over 3.5 Goals: 8 (Expected: 2)
- Both Teams Scored: 6 (Expected: 6)
- Unexpected Wins: 1 (Expected: 0)
- Unexpected Losses: 1 (Expected: 0) The team is in strong form, exceeding expectations in high-scoring games, with a good number of wins and a competitive record.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Atlético Madrid: The statistical and market favorite. Expected to control the game (62% predicted possession) and generate a higher volume of shots. Their defensive record (0.9 goals conceded avg.) is a key strength. The predicted 2-1 scoreline suggests a win but acknowledges Bodø/Glimt’s attacking threat.
- Bodø/Glimt: Pose a significant attacking threat, as shown by their high average goals scored (2.8) and xG (2.12). They will likely see less of the ball but look to be efficient in attack. Their high goals-against average (1.2) suggests vulnerability that Atlético can exploit.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 2 – 1 Bodø/Glimt
This is forecasted to be a competitive match. While Atlético Madrid are justifiably favorites due to their superior squad value, predicted control of the game, and defensive organization, Bodø/Glimt’s potent attack—evidenced by strong seasonal scoring averages—makes them dangerous. The 2-1 correct score reflects the expectation of an Atlético victory in a match where both teams are likely to score, aligning with the “Both Teams Scored” form data.
Recommended Tips:
- Most Probable Outcome: Atlético Madrid to Win – The standout tip with maximum confidence (10/10), supported by home advantage and statistical control.
- Scorecast: Atlético Madrid 2-1 – The predicted correct score balances Atlético’s favoritism with Bodø/Glimt’s attacking capability.
- Alternative: Both Teams to Score – Although confidence is rated 3/10, the form data and Bodø/Glimt’s goal-scoring record suggest this is a plausible outcome.
