Fixture Overview
- Competition: Spanish La Liga
- Date & Time: January 25, 21:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Atletico Madrid (€526.00m squad value) vs Mallorca (€81.40m squad value)
- Market Odds: Atletico Madrid (0.33) | Draw (4.55) | Mallorca (10.0)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Atletico Madrid’s squad valuation (€526.00m) is more than six times that of Mallorca (€81.40m), indicating a substantial gulf in financial resources and player quality.
- Market Analysis: The betting market heavily favors a home victory for Atletico Madrid, reflecting their status as strong favorites.
- Fixture Note: A warning indicates that Atletico Madrid has an upcoming match in a European competition, which may influence team selection or performance.
Match Predictions & Tips
- Best Tip: Atletico Madrid to Win (1) – Odds: 0.33, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Atletico Madrid Win (1) – Odds: 0.33, Confidence: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.69, Confidence: 3/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.7, Confidence: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: Atletico Madrid Win or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals (1X & O1.5) – Odds: 0.3, Confidence: 5/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:0
- Correct Score Prediction: 3:0
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
Data forecasts indicate significant dominance for Atletico Madrid across key metrics:
- Expected Goals (xG): Atletico Madrid 1.35 vs Mallorca 0.64
- Ball Possession: Atletico Madrid 69% vs Mallorca 31%
- Total Shots: Atletico Madrid 16 vs Mallorca 6
- Shots on Goal: Atletico Madrid 5 vs Mallorca 2
- Shots off Goal: Atletico Madrid 5 vs Mallorca 2
- Corners: Atletico Madrid 5 vs Mallorca 1
- Yellow Cards: Atletico Madrid 1 vs Mallorca 2 Atletico Madrid is projected to control the game, create higher-quality chances, and generate significantly more attacking opportunities.
Seasonal Average Match Data (Atletico Madrid)
Analysis based on Atletico Madrid’s average per-match statistics:
- Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
- Total Goals (Avg): 2.6
- Goals Scored (Avg): 1.6
- Goals Conceded (Avg): 1.0
- Possession (Avg): 52%
- Total Shots (Avg): 14.3
- Shots on Goal (Avg): 5.3
- Shots off Goal (Avg): Data not specified
- Fouls Committed (Avg): 12.2
- Corners (Avg): Data not specified
- Total Passes (Avg): 503 The data highlights Atletico Madrid’s solid offensive output (1.6 goals scored per game) coupled with a strong defensive record (1.0 goals conceded per game).
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches – Team Overview)
Overview of a team’s recent form (context suggests Atletico Madrid’s metrics):
- Wins: 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: 7 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 5 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 4 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 6 matches
- Unexpected Wins: 0
- Unexpected Losses: 0 The team shows strong form, winning 60% of their last 10 matches, with a high frequency of matches featuring multiple goals.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record (Last 10 Meetings): Atletico Madrid 9 Wins, 4 Draws, Mallorca 4 Wins.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 21 Sep 2025: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- 01 Feb 2025: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca
- 10 Nov 2024: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid
- 04 May 2024: Atletico Madrid 0-1 Mallorca
- 25 Nov 2023: Mallorca 1-0 Atletico Madrid
- 26 Apr 2023: Mallorca 3-1 Atletico Madrid
- 09 Nov 2022: Mallorca 1-0 Atletico Madrid
- 09 Apr 2022: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
- 04 Dec 2021: Mallorca 1-2 Atletico Madrid
- 03 Jul 2020: Mallorca 3-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid holds a clear historical advantage (9-4-4), though recent away games have been challenging, with Mallorca securing several wins. The most recent encounter was a draw.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Atletico Madrid: The statistical and market favorite. Expected to dominate possession (69% predicted) and create superior chances (xG 1.35). Their strong home record and defensive solidity are key assets. The 3-0 score prediction and “Both Teams to Score: No” tip suggest expectations of a comprehensive victory with a clean sheet.
- RCD Mallorca: Will likely adopt a compact, defensive approach and look for opportunities on the counter-attack or from set-pieces. Their historical ability to get results against Atletico Madrid at home provides a psychological boost, but facing them at the Metropolitano is a different challenge.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Atletico Madrid 3 – 0 RCD Mallorca
All pre-match indicators strongly favor an Atletico Madrid victory. The significant disparity in squad value, predicted statistical dominance, strong home advantage, and historical H2H record at home all point towards a comfortable win. While Mallorca has caused upsets in the past, they have struggled at the Metropolitano recently. The potential for squad rotation due to Atletico’s European commitment is a minor consideration.
Recommended Tips:
- Most Probable Outcome: Atletico Madrid to Win – The standout tip with maximum confidence (10/10), supported by all key data points. The low odds (0.33) reflect its high probability.
- Scorecast: Atletico Madrid 3-0 – The predicted correct score aligns with expectations of a dominant home performance and a clean sheet.
- Alternative: Atletico Madrid Win to Nil – Complements the clean sheet prediction implied by the 3-0 score and “Both Teams to Score: No” tip.
