Fixture Overview
- Competition: Premier League
- Date & Time: January 25, 22:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Crystal Palace (€474.10m squad value) vs Chelsea (€1.17bn squad value)
- Market Odds: Crystal Palace (2.6) | Draw (2.8) | Chelsea (1.05)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Chelsea’s squad valuation (€1.17bn) is approximately 2.5 times that of Crystal Palace (€474.10m), indicating a significant gap in financial resources and player quality.
- Market Analysis: The betting market heavily favors an away victory for Chelsea, reflected in their extremely low odds (1.05).
- Fixture Note: A warning indicates that Chelsea has an upcoming match in a European competition, which may influence team selection or performance.
Match Predictions & Tips
- Best Tip: Draw or Chelsea Win (X2) – Odds: 0.33, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Chelsea Win (2) – Odds: 1.05, Confidence: 8/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.43, Confidence: 3/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.65, Confidence: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: Draw or Chelsea Win & Under 5.5 Goals (X2 & U5.5) – Odds: 0.44, Confidence: 3/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 0:1
- Correct Score Prediction: 1:2
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
Data models forecast Chelsea’s dominance in key metrics:
- Expected Goals (xG): Crystal Palace 1.2 vs Chelsea 1.9
- Ball Possession: Crystal Palace 41% vs Chelsea 59%
- Total Shots: Crystal Palace 9 vs Chelsea 14
- Shots on Goal: Crystal Palace 2 vs Chelsea 4
- Shots off Goal: Crystal Palace 3 vs Chelsea 4
- Corners: Crystal Palace 4 vs Chelsea 6
- Yellow Cards: Crystal Palace 2 vs Chelsea 3 Chelsea is projected to control the game, create better quality chances, and generate more attacking actions.
Seasonal Average Match Data (Overview)
Analysis of per-match averages:
- Expected Goals (xG): Team 1.39 vs Opponent 1.96
- Total Goals (Avg): Team 2.5 vs Opponent 3.4
- Goals Scored (Avg): Team 0.7 vs Opponent 2.0
- Goals Conceded (Avg): Team 1.8 vs Opponent 1.4
- Possession (Avg): Team 45% vs Opponent 56%
- Total Shots (Avg): Team 11.2 vs Opponent 15.3
- Shots on Goal (Avg): Team 3.1 vs Opponent 5.7
- Fouls Committed (Avg): Team 10.3 vs Opponent 9.6
- Corners (Avg): Team 4.9 vs Opponent 6.4
- Total Passes (Avg): Team 390 vs Opponent 533 The data highlights a clear trend: one team (contextually, Chelsea) significantly outperforms the other (Crystal Palace) in expected goals, possession, goal output, shot volume, and overall control of the game.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches – Overview)
Overview of recent form for one of the teams (context suggests this is Crystal Palace’s form):
- Wins: 0
- Over 1.5 Goals: 8 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 5 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 2 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 6 matches
- Unexpected Wins: 0
- Unexpected Losses: 1 This indicates a team in poor form regarding securing wins (0 in last 10), but one that is frequently involved in matches with goals.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record (Last 10 Meetings): Chelsea 4 Wins, 3 Draws, Crystal Palace 3 Wins.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 17 Aug 2025: Chelsea 0-0 Crystal Palace
- 04 Jan 2025: Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea
- 01 Sep 2024: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace
- 12 Feb 2024: Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea
- 27 Dec 2023: Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace
- 15 Jan 2023: Crystal Palace 1-0 Chelsea
- 01 Oct 2022: Chelsea 1-2 Crystal Palace
- 17 Apr 2022: Crystal Palace 2-0 Chelsea
- 19 Feb 2022: Chelsea 0-1 Crystal Palace
- 14 Aug 2021: Crystal Palace 3-0 Chelsea Recent history shows this is a competitive fixture. While Chelsea has a slight edge in the overall 10-game record (4-3-3), Crystal Palace has secured notable victories and draws, especially in home games.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Chelsea: The statistical favorite. Expected to dominate possession (59% predicted) and create higher-quality chances (xG 1.9). Their superior squad value and attacking averages suggest they control the game’s tempo. The predicted 1-2 scoreline indicates they are favored to win but may concede.
- Crystal Palace: Will rely on a resilient defensive structure and look to exploit moments on the counter-attack or from set-pieces. Their recent H2H record at home shows they can get results against Chelsea. Their current poor winless form, however, is a major concern.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Crystal Palace 1 – 2 Chelsea
Chelsea emerges as the clear favorite based on squad value, statistical projections, and seasonal performance data. However, Crystal Palace’s respectable recent head-to-head record at Selhurst Park and their tendency to be involved in close games (as shown by numerous draws) suggest they can make it competitive. Chelsea’s potential European fixture distraction is a minor factor. The most likely outcome is a narrow Chelsea victory in a match where both teams score.
Recommended Tips:
- Safest Bet: Draw or Chelsea Win (X2) – The best tip with maximum confidence (10/10), offering a high-probability outcome.
- Most Probable Outcome: Chelsea to Win – Strongly supported by the data, though the low odds (1.05) offer minimal value.
- Scorecast: Crystal Palace 1-2 Chelsea – The predicted correct score aligns with Chelsea’s favoritism and the expectation of a competitive match with goals.
