Fixture Overview
- Competition: French Ligue 1
- Date & Time: January 24, 03:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: AJ Auxerre (€71.65m squad value) vs Paris Saint-Germain (€1.19bn squad value)
- Market Odds: Auxerre (8.75) | Draw (4.7) | PSG (0.34)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: PSG’s squad valuation (€1.19bn) is over 16 times that of Auxerre (€71.65m), highlighting an immense gulf in financial power and player quality.
- Market Analysis: The betting market overwhelmingly favors an away victory for Paris Saint-Germain, reflecting their status as prohibitive favorites.
Match Predictions & Tips
- Best Tip: PSG to Win (2) – Odds: 0.34, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: PSG Win (2) – Odds: 0.34, Confidence: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.55, Confidence: 3/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.92, Confidence: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: Draw or PSG & Over 2.5 Goals (X2 & O2.5) – Odds: 0.67, Confidence: 2/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: Auxerre 0 – 1 PSG
- Correct Score Prediction: Auxerre 0 – 3 PSG
- Fixture Note: A warning indicates that PSG has an upcoming match in a European competition, which may influence team selection or performance.
Statistical Predictions (Average Per Match)
Analysis of key seasonal averages reveals PSG’s dominance:
- Expected Goals (xG): Auxerre 1.33 vs PSG 2.16
- Total Goals (Avg): Auxerre 2.5 vs PSG 3.0
- Goals Scored (Avg): Auxerre 0.8 vs PSG 2.1
- Goals Conceded (Avg): Auxerre 1.7 vs PSG 0.9
- Possession (Avg): Auxerre 43% vs PSG 68%
- Total Shots (Avg): Auxerre 11.4 vs PSG 19.2
- Shots on Target (Avg): Auxerre 4.1 vs PSG 7.3
- Fouls Committed (Avg): Auxerre 13.7 vs PSG 8.6
- Total Passes (Avg): Auxerre 383 vs PSG 713 The data underscores PSG’s superiority in every attacking and possession metric, while also showcasing a significantly more solid defense.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches – Overview)
An overview of recent form for a team (inferred to be Auxerre’s based on context):
- Wins: 5
- Over 1.5 Goals: 8 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 7 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 4 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 5 matches
- Unexpected Wins: 0
- Unexpected Losses: 1 This indicates the team has been competitive and involved in matches with goals, but securing wins has been inconsistent.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record (Last 10 Meetings): PSG 6 Wins, 2 Draws, Auxerre 2 Wins.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 27 Sep 2025: PSG 2-0 Auxerre
- 17 May 2025: PSG 3-1 Auxerre
- 06 Dec 2024: Auxerre 0-0 PSG
- 21 May 2023: PSG 1-2 Auxerre
- 13 Nov 2022: Auxerre 5-0 PSG (Additional older fixtures listed: 2015, 2012, 2011, 2010) PSG holds a clear historical advantage in recent years, though Auxerre has recorded notable victories in the past.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Paris Saint-Germain: The overwhelming favorite. Expected to dominate possession (68% seasonal average) and create a high volume of quality chances (xG 2.16). Their attacking firepower and defensive solidity are key. The 0-3 score prediction points towards a controlled, comfortable away victory with a high probability of a clean sheet, even considering potential rotation due to European commitments.
- AJ Auxerre: Face a formidable challenge. Their strategy will likely focus on defensive organization and attempting to exploit any rare counter-attacking opportunities. While they have shown they can score in recent form, PSG’s defensive record suggests keeping them out will be extremely difficult. Historical upsets provide a glimmer of hope but are considered unlikely.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Auxerre 0 – 3 Paris Saint-Germain
All pre-match indicators strongly point towards a convincing PSG victory. The extreme disparity in squad value and seasonal performance data, particularly in possession and chance creation, makes the away side the clear favorite. While Auxerre’s recent form shows they are not pushovers, PSG’s quality is expected to be far superior on the night, likely resulting in a clean-sheet win.
Recommended Tips:
- Most Probable Outcome: PSG to Win – The standout tip with maximum confidence (10/10), supported by overwhelming statistical and qualitative advantages.
- Scorecast: Auxerre 0-3 PSG – The predicted correct score aligns with expectations of PSG’s dominance and defensive strength.
- Consideration: The warning about PSG’s European match is the only minor factor that could affect the margin of victory, but not the likely outcome.
