Fixture Overview
- Competition: Serie A
- Date & Time: January 8, 01:30 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Napoli (€503.30m squad value) vs Verona (€91.20m squad value)
- Match Odds: Napoli (0.39) | Draw (4.0) | Verona (9.5)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Napoli’s squad valuation (€503.30m) is more than five times that of Verona (€91.20m), indicating a significant gulf in financial power and player quality.
- Market Analysis: The betting market heavily favors a home victory for Napoli, reflecting their overwhelming superiority on paper.
Predictions & Best Tips
- Best Tip: Napoli to Win (1) – Odds: 0.39, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Napoli Win (1) – Odds: 0.39, Confidence: 10/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.3, Confidence: 3/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.52, Confidence: 4/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Under 4.5 Goals – Odds: 0.25, Confidence: 5/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:0
- Final Score Prediction: 2:0
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
Data models project a match heavily dominated by Napoli in all key performance indicators:
- Expected Goals (xG): Napoli 1.92 vs Verona 0.71
- Ball Possession: Napoli 66% vs Verona 34%
- Total Shots: Napoli 15 vs Verona 8
- Shots on Target: Napoli 5 vs Verona 3
- Shots off Target: Napoli 6 vs Verona 2
- Corners: Napoli 7 vs Verona 3
- Yellow Cards: Napoli 1 vs Verona 2 Napoli is projected to control the game, create vastly superior chances, and out-shoot their opponents significantly.
Seasonal Average Match Data
Analysis based on statistical averages per match:
- Expected Goals (xG): Napoli 1.6 vs Verona 0.97
- Total Goals (Per Match Avg): Napoli 1.9 vs Verona 3.0
- Goals Scored: Napoli 1.4 vs Verona 1.1
- Goals Conceded: Napoli 0.5 vs Verona 1.9
- Possession: Napoli 54% vs Verona 40%
- Total Shots: Napoli 12.1 vs Verona 10.0
- Shots on Target: Napoli 4.6 vs Verona 4.0
- Shots off Target: Napoli 5.0 vs Verona 2.9
- Fouls Committed: Napoli 12.0 vs Verona 17.6
- Corners: Napoli 6.0 vs Verona 3.5
- Total Passes: Napoli 505 vs Verona 319 The seasonal data underscores Napoli’s clear superiority, especially in defense (conceding only 0.5 goals on average) and chance creation (higher xG).
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of recent form for the involved teams:
- Napoli Form (Last 10): 7 Wins. 8 matches with Over 1.5 goals, 1 with Over 2.5, 3 with Over 3.5, 7 where Both Teams Scored. 1 Unexpected Win. 0 Unexpected Losses.
- Verona Form (Last 10): 2 Wins. 9 matches with Over 1.5 goals, 9 with Over 2.5, 3 with Over 3.5, 7 where Both Teams Scored. 1 Unexpected Win. 0 Unexpected Losses. Napoli is in far superior form, securing 7 wins to Verona’s 2. Notably, Verona’s matches are consistently high-scoring (Over 2.5 in 9 of 10).
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record: Napoli 14 Wins, 3 Draws, 3 Losses.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 12 Jan 2025: Napoli 2-0 Verona
- 18 Aug 2024: Verona 0-3 Napoli
- 04 Feb 2024: Verona 1-2 Napoli
- 21 Oct 2023: Napoli 1-3 Verona
- 15 Apr 2023: Verona 0-0 Napoli
- 15 Aug 2022: Napoli 5-2 Verona
- 13 Mar 2022: Verona 1-2 Napoli
- 07 Nov 2021: Napoli 1-1 Verona
- 23 May 2021: Verona 1-1 Napoli Napoli holds a commanding historical advantage (14-3-3) and has won the last three encounters, keeping clean sheets in the two most recent.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Napoli: Expected to leverage their predicted dominance in possession (66%) and chance creation (xG 1.92) to control the game. Their strong defensive record (0.5 goals conceded avg.) and H2H form make them formidable. The predicted 2-0 scoreline suggests a controlled victory with a likely clean sheet.
- Verona: Faces a monumental task. They will likely adopt an ultra-defensive posture. While their recent matches have been high-scoring, Napoli’s defensive solidity presents a much sterner test. Their high foul count average (17.6) indicates they may struggle with discipline under pressure.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Napoli 2 – 0 Verona
All pre-match metrics converge to signal a comfortable Napoli victory. The enormous disparity in squad value, predicted statistics, seasonal form, and head-to-head record overwhelmingly favors the home side. While Verona’s matches often feature goals, Napoli’s excellent defense (best in this comparison) and recent H2H clean sheets suggest they can keep the visitors at bay.
Recommended Tips:
- Most Probable Outcome: Napoli to Win – The standout tip with maximum confidence (10/10), strongly supported by all data points. The low odds reflect its high probability.
- Scorecast: Napoli 2-0 – The predicted correct score aligns with statistical dominance, Napoli’s strong defense, and recent H2H results.
- Value Consideration: Both Teams to Score: No – Given Napoli’s defensive record and Verona’s likely struggle, this has merit despite a 4/10 confidence rating.
