PSG vs Rennes: Ligue 1 Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: French Ligue 1
  • Date & Time: December 7, 04:05 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Paris Saint-Germain (€1.15bn squad value) vs Rennes (€172.30m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Disparity:PSG’s squad value (€1.15bn) dramatically exceeds Rennes’ (€172.30m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
  2. Probability & Odds Analysis:
    • Home Win: 0.33 odds (Very high probability)
    • Draw: 5.2 odds
    • Away Win: 8.5 oddsPSG are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
  3. AI Prediction Analysis:
    • Best Tip: HS2+ (Home Score 2+ Goals) – Odds: 0.3, Rating: 10/10
    • Alternative: PSG to Win (1) – Odds: 0.33, Rating: 10/10
    • Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.45, Rating: 5/10
    • Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.78, Rating: 1/10
    • Half-Time Score: 1:0
    • Correct Score: 2:1
    • Warning: PSG has upcoming match in Europe which may affect team selection

Statistical Predictions

Based on the stats predictions chart:

  • xG (Expected Goals): PSG 1.94 vs Rennes 0.87
  • Ball Possession: PSG 73% vs Rennes 27%
  • Total Shots: PSG 20 vs Rennes 6
  • Shots on Goal: PSG 7 vs Rennes 1
  • Shots Off Goal: PSG 7 vs Rennes 1
  • Corners: PSG 6 vs Rennes 2
  • Yellow Cards: PSG 1 vs Rennes 2PSG is expected to dominate all statistical categories

Average Match Data

  • Expected Goals: PSG 1.9 vs Rennes 1.6
  • Total Goals: PSG 4.1 vs Rennes 3.1
  • Goals Scored: PSG 2.7 vs Rennes 1.9
  • Goals Against: PSG 1.4 vs Rennes 1.2
  • Possession: PSG 70% vs Rennes 52%
  • Total Shots: PSG 19.5 vs Rennes 12.6
  • Shots on Goal: PSG 7.1 vs Rennes 4.6
  • Shots Off Goal: PSG 6.9 vs Rennes 4.3
  • Fouls: PSG 10.8 vs Rennes 11.1
  • Corners: PSG 5.9 vs Rennes 5.7
  • Offsides: PSG 1.4 vs Rennes 1.8
  • Yellow Cards: PSG 1.4 vs Rennes 1.89
  • Total Passes: PSG 704 vs Rennes 448PSG demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics

Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)

  • Wins: PSG 6 vs Rennes 4
  • Over 1.5 Goals: PSG 8 vs Rennes 7
  • Over 2.5 Goals: PSG 7 vs Rennes 7
  • Over 3.5 Goals: PSG 4 vs Rennes 6
  • Both Teams Scored: PSG 6 vs Rennes 7
  • Unexpected Wins: PSG 0 vs Rennes 0
  • Unexpected Losses: PSG 1 vs Rennes 0Both teams show similar recent form

Head-to-Head Record

  • Historical Dominance: PSG leads 21W-8D-6L
  • Recent Results:
    • Mar 8, 2025: Rennes 1-4 PSG
    • Sep 27, 2024: PSG 3-1 Rennes
    • Apr 3, 2024: PSG 1-0 Rennes
    • Feb 25, 2024: Rennes 1-1 PSG
    • Oct 8, 2023: Rennes 1-3 PSG
    • Mar 19, 2023: Rennes 0-2 PSG
    • Jan 15, 2023: PSG 1-0 Rennes
    • Feb 11, 2022: Rennes 2-0 PSG
    • Oct 3, 2021: PSG 2-0 RennesPSG maintains strong historical advantage

Tactical Analysis

  • PSG: Expected to dominate possession (73% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent offensive output (2.7 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization.
  • Rennes: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.

Special Considerations

  • Warning: PSG has upcoming match in Europe which may affect team selection and performance
  • AI Confidence: High rating (10/10) for PSG to score 2+ goals
  • Predicted Score: 2-1 PSG win

Betting Recommendations

  • Safest Bet: HS2+ (PSG to Score 2+ Goals) – 0.3 odds, 10/10 rating
  • Alternative: PSG to Win – 0.33 odds, 10/10 rating
  • Score Prediction: 2-1 to PSG – Strongly supported by AI prediction

Final Prediction

Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Rennes

PSG’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a narrow victory. Rennes’ recent form suggests they may score, but PSG’s attacking quality and home advantage should prove decisive.

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