Fixture Overview
- Competition: Spanish La Liga
- Date & Time: December 3, 04:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Barcelona (€1.11bn squad value) vs Atlético Madrid (€623.80m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity:Barcelona’s squad value (€1.11bn) significantly exceeds Atlético Madrid’s (€623.80m), highlighting a substantial quality advantage for the home side.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 0.82 odds (High probability)
- Draw: 3.25 odds
- Away Win: 3.4 oddsBarcelona are clear favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: 1X (Barcelona Win or Draw) – Odds: 0.28, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: Barcelona to Win (1) – Odds: 0.82, Rating: 8/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.45, Rating: 8/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.45, Rating: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 0.43, Rating: 8/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:0, Full-Time 3:1
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Expected Goals (xG): Barcelona 1.91 vs Atlético 0.82
- Ball Possession: Barcelona 63% vs Atlético 37%
- Total Shots: Barcelona 16 vs Atlético 8
- Shots on Goal: Barcelona 6 vs Atlético 2
- Shots Off Goal: Barcelona 5 vs Atlético 3
- Corners: Both teams 4
- Yellow Cards: Barcelona 2 vs Atlético 1Barcelona is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Expected Goals: Barcelona 1.96 vs Atlético 1.63
- Total Goals: Barcelona 4.5 vs Atlético 2.6
- Goals Scored: Barcelona 2.7 vs Atlético 1.8
- Goals Against: Barcelona 1.8 vs Atlético 0.8
- Possession: Barcelona 64% vs Atlético 54%
- Total Shots: Barcelona 17.4 vs Atlético 13.8
- Shots on Goal: Barcelona 6.5 vs Atlético 5.5Barcelona demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Barcelona 6 vs Atlético 8
- Over 1.5 Goals: Barcelona 10 vs Atlético 8
- Over 2.5 Goals: Barcelona 10 vs Atlético 5
- Over 3.5 Goals: Barcelona 7 vs Atlético 3
- Both Teams Scored: Barcelona 8 vs Atlético 4
- Unexpected Results: Barcelona 0 vs Atlético 1Barcelona shows strong recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Barcelona leads 22W-6D-9L
- Recent Results:
- Apr 2, 2025: Atlético 0-1 Barcelona
- Mar 16, 2025: Atlético 2-4 Barcelona
- Feb 25, 2025: Atlético 4-4 Barcelona
- Dec 21, 2024: Atlético 1-2 Barcelona
- Mar 17, 2024: Atlético 0-3 Barcelona
- Dec 3, 2023: Barcelona 1-0 Atlético
- Apr 23, 2023: Barcelona 1-0 Atlético
- Jan 8, 2023: Atlético 0-1 Barcelona
- Feb 6, 2022: Barcelona 4-2 AtléticoBarcelona maintains strong historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- Barcelona: Expected to dominate possession (64% average), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent offensive output (2.7 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization.
- Atlético Madrid: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Underdogs based on squad value and form.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: 1X (Barcelona Win or Draw) – 0.28 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 3:1 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – 0.45 odds, 8/10 rating
Final Prediction
Barcelona 3-1 Atlético Madrid
Barcelona’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a comfortable victory. Atlético’s defensive vulnerabilities (0.8 goals against average) suggest they will struggle to contain Barcelona’s attacking pressure.
