Azerbaijan vs Iceland: World Cup Qualification Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: FIFA World Cup Qualification (UEFA)
  • Date & Time: November 14, 01:00 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Azerbaijan (€17.85m squad value) vs Iceland (€81.40m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Disparity:Iceland’s squad value (€81.40m) significantly exceeds Azerbaijan’s (€17.85m), reflecting a substantial quality advantage for the away side.
  2. AI Prediction Analysis:
    • Best Tip: Iceland to Win (2) – Odds: 0.53, Rating: 10/10
    • Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Iceland Win) – Odds: 0.53, Rating: 10/10
    • Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.78, Rating: 6/10
    • Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.85, Rating: 1/10
    • Bet Builder Tip: X2 & Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 0.34, Rating: 9/10
    • Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:1, Full-Time 1:2

Statistical Predictions

Based on the stats predictions chart:

  • Ball Possession: Azerbaijan 32% vs Iceland 68%
  • Total Shots: Azerbaijan 4 vs Iceland 11
  • Shots on Goal: Azerbaijan 1 vs Iceland 5
  • Shots Off Goal: Azerbaijan 2 vs Iceland 3
  • Corners: Azerbaijan 1 vs Iceland 3
  • Yellow Cards: Azerbaijan 2 vs Iceland 1Iceland is expected to dominate all statistical categories

Average Match Data

  • Total Goals: Azerbaijan 2.7 vs Iceland 3.9
  • Goals Scored: Azerbaijan 0.3 vs Iceland 1.9
  • Goals Against: Azerbaijan 2.4 vs Iceland 2.0
  • Possession: Azerbaijan 39% vs Iceland 51%
  • Total Shots: Azerbaijan 5.4 vs Iceland 8.4
  • Shots on Goal: Azerbaijan 1.9 vs Iceland 3.9Iceland demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics

Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)

  • Wins: Azerbaijan 0 vs Iceland 3
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Azerbaijan 8 vs Iceland 9
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Azerbaijan 6 vs Iceland 8
  • Over 3.5 Goals: Azerbaijan 2 vs Iceland 6
  • Both Teams Scored: Azerbaijan 7 vs Iceland 7
  • Unexpected Results: None for either teamIceland shows significantly better recent form

Head-to-Head Record

  • Historical Dominance: Iceland leads 1W-0D-0L
  • Recent Result:
    • Sep 5, 2025: Iceland 5-0 AzerbaijanIceland maintains perfect historical record

Tactical Analysis

  • Iceland: Expected to dominate possession (68% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Strong offensive output (1.9 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization.
  • Azerbaijan: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.

Betting Recommendations

  • Safest Bet: Iceland to Win – 0.53 odds, 10/10 rating
  • Alternative: Correct Score 1:2 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
  • Value Bet: X2 & Over 1.5 Goals – 0.34 odds, 9/10 rating

Final Prediction

Azerbaijan 1-2 Iceland

Iceland’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a narrow victory. Azerbaijan’s defensive vulnerabilities (2.4 goals against average) suggest they will struggle to contain Iceland’s attacking pressure.

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