Fixture Overview
- Competition: UEFA Champions League
- Date & Time: October 1, 04:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Chelsea (€1.17bn squad value) vs Benfica (€332.00m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: Chelsea’s squad value (€1.17bn) dramatically exceeds Benfica’s (€332.00m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 0.62 odds (High probability)
- Draw: 3.13 odds
- Away Win: 4.59 odds Chelsea are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: Chelsea to Win (1) – Odds: 0.62, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Chelsea Win) – Odds: 0.62, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.62, Rating: 5/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.67, Rating: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 0.31, Rating: 7/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:1, Full-Time 2:1
Predicted Match Stats
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Ball Possession: Chelsea 72% vs Benfica 28%
- Total Shots: Chelsea 14 vs Benfica 6
- Shots on Goal: Chelsea 4 vs Benfica 1
- Shots Off Goal: Chelsea 4 vs Benfica 2
- Corners: Chelsea 5 vs Benfica 2
- Yellow Cards: Chelsea 2 vs Benfica 4 Chelsea is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Total Goals: Chelsea 3.3 vs Benfica 2.3
- Goals Scored: Chelsea 2.0 vs Benfica 1.6
- Goals Against: Chelsea 1.3 vs Benfica 0.7
- Possession: Chelsea 61% vs Benfica 59%
- Total Shots: Chelsea 12.4 vs Benfica 13.8
- Shots on Goal: Chelsea 4.1 vs Benfica 4.7 Chelsea demonstrates superior offensive output
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Chelsea 5 vs Benfica 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: Chelsea 9 vs Benfica 7
- Over 2.5 Goals: Chelsea 7 vs Benfica 5
- Over 3.5 Goals: Chelsea 1 vs Benfica 1
- Both Teams Scored: Chelsea 7 vs Benfica 5 Both teams show strong recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Chelsea leads 3-0-0
- Recent Results:
- Jun 28, 2025: Benfica 1-4 Chelsea
- Apr 4, 2012: Chelsea 2-1 Benfica
- Mar 27, 2012: Benfica 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea maintains perfect historical record against Benfica
Tactical Analysis
- Chelsea: Expected to dominate possession (72% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Strong offensive output (2.0 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization.
- Benfica: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Chelsea to Win – 0.62 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 2:1 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – 0.62 odds, 5/10 rating
Final Prediction
Chelsea 2-1 Benfica
Chelsea’s superior squad value, statistical dominance, and perfect historical record should secure a victory. Benfica’s defensive organization (0.7 goals against average) suggests they may keep the scoreline close, but Chelsea’s attacking quality likely proves decisive.
