Match Overview
- Date: 20 August, 03:00 (GMT)
- Team Values: Real Madrid (€1.37bn squad) vs. Osasuna (€83.60m squad)
- Betting Tips:
- Best Tip: Real Madrid win (odds @ 0.22, 80% success rate).
- Other Markets:
- 1X2: Real Madrid (0.22, 70% confidence).
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 (low confidence: 3/10).
- Clean Sheet: “No” for BTTS (1/10 confidence).
Key Warning: Avoid heavy betting on early-season matches due to unpredictable form.
Statistical Comparison
(Average per match metrics)
| Metric | Real Madrid | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Total Goals | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Possession | 56% | 46% |
| Total Shots | 17.1 | 14.4 |
| Shots on Target | 6.8 | 4.0 |
| Fouls Committed | 7.9 | 11.8 |
| Corners | 8.3 | 7.0 |
Key Insights:
- Real Madrid dominates in attacking output (goals, shots) and ball retention.
- Osasuna’s higher foul count suggests defensive vulnerability.
Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
| Metric | Baseline | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 6 | 3 |
| Both Teams Scored | 4 | 5 |
Takeaway: Real Madrid’s form has dipped slightly (50% win rate), but Osasuna’s defense remains leaky (BTTS in 50% of games).
Head-to-Head (H2H) Record
- Overall: Real Madrid leads 16-6-1.
- Recent Fixtures:
- Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna (Nov 2024)
- Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid (Feb 2025) [most recent]
- Real Madrid won 5 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 3+ goals.
Trend: Madrid’s dominance is clear, but Osasuna occasionally snatches draws at home.
League Standings Context
- Early Season:
- Real Madrid yet to play (0 points, 13th).
- Osasuna also winless (0 points, 10th).
- Top Teams: Barcelona leads with a 3-0 opening win.
Implications: Madrid will aim for a statement victory to climb the table.
Tactical Verdict
- Real Madrid’s Strengths:
- Superior firepower (2.1 goals/game).
- High press (56% possession, 17.1 shots/game).
- Osasuna’s Weaknesses:
- Defensive gaps (1.1 goals conceded/game).
- Struggles against top-tier teams (1 win in last 16 H2Hs).
Prediction: 3-0 Real Madrid win (HT 1-0). Expect goals from Vinícius Jr. and Bellingham, with Osasuna failing to score.
Betting Recommendation:
- Safe: Real Madrid ML (@ 0.22).
- Risky: Correct score 3-0 (low odds, high reward).
