With the glow of his Wimbledon triumph still fresh, Jannik Sinner heads into the 2025 Cincinnati Masters as the undisputed favorite. Returning to his strongest surface — hard courts — the world
Reigning Champion Returns to His Fortress
Following a stellar summer capped by a Wimbledon crown and an 85% win rate, Sinner arrives in Ohio as both the defending champion and the world’s top-ranked player. His precise shot-making, relentless rhythm, and raw power are perfectly suited to the Cincinnati hard courts.
In 2024, Sinner not only lifted the Cincinnati trophy but went on to win the US Open, achieving the rare “American double.” Pulling off that feat again would further cement his No. 1 ranking and keep Carlos Alcaraz at bay.
Odds Put Sinner Ahead of the Field
Bookmakers are firmly behind the Italian star. According to Snai:
- Sinner: 2.15
- Alcaraz: 3.00
- Zverev: 15
- Fritz: 18
- Medvedev (not playing): 25
- Shelton: 30
- De Minaur: 30
International books follow a similar pattern:
- Bet365: Sinner 2.10, Alcaraz 2.80
- Unibet: Sinner 2.20
- William Hill: Sinner 2.00
The consensus is clear — Sinner is the man to beat.
Alcaraz: The Only Real Threat
With Novak Djokovic skipping the North American swing until the US Open, the spotlight again falls on the Sinner–Alcaraz rivalry. Still in its early stages, this generational clash has already produced dramatic finals, bruising baseline rallies, and contrasting styles that define the sport’s new era.
A Cincinnati showdown could set the tone for New York. If Alcaraz wins here, the ATP points race tightens. But for now, Sinner appears to hold the mental and statistical edge.
The Italian Contingent: Hopes and Long Shots
Sinner won’t be the only Italian in the draw. Five compatriots have made the main event:
- Lorenzo Musetti: 65
- Matteo Arnaldi: 100
- Flavio Cobolli: 125
- Lorenzo Sonego: 200
- Luciano Darderi: 300
While these players are unlikely to challenge for the title, they could create early-round upsets and boost Italian interest in the tournament.
Cincinnati: More Than a US Open Tune-Up
Long considered the ultimate pre-US Open test, Cincinnati’s medium-paced hard courts provide a truer measure of form than faster or slower surfaces.
Sinner’s record here is exceptional. His serve, deep returns, and ability to anticipate opponents’ patterns make him a nightmare to face on hard courts. With coach Riccardo Piatti rejoining his team mid-season, the Italian’s game looks more composed than ever.
