Fixture Overview
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date & Time: February 15, 00:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Olympique de Marseille (€400.00m squad value) vs RC Strasbourg (€293.75m squad value)
- Market Odds: Marseille (0.78) | Draw (3.17) | Strasbourg (3.40)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value: Marseille holds a noticeable financial advantage with a squad valued at €400.00m compared to Strasbourg’s €293.75m.
- Market & Predictive Analysis: The betting market and predictive model strongly favor a Marseille victory at home, with a high-confidence recommendation for over 2.5 total goals.
Match Predictions & Key Tips
- Best Tip: Over 2.5 Total Goals – Odds: 0.62, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Marseille to Win (1) – Odds: 0.78, Confidence: 7/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Confidence: 10/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.61, Confidence: 1/10
- Bet Builder Suggestion: Marseille Win or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals (1X & O1.5) – Odds: 0.44, Confidence: 9/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:0
- Correct Score Prediction: 3:1
Statistical Predictions
Pre-match data forecasts an attacking game with Marseille creating more chances:
- Total Shots: Marseille 16 vs Strasbourg 9
- Shots on Goal: Marseille 6 vs Strasbourg 3
- Shots off Goal: Marseille 5 vs Strasbourg 2 Marseille is projected to be more prolific in attack, generating nearly double the number of shots on target.
Seasonal Average Match Data
Analysis of average per-match statistics highlights Marseille’s attacking edge and Strasbourg’s defensive concerns:
- Total Goals (Avg): Marseille 4.4 vs Strasbourg 3.3
- Goals Scored (Avg): Marseille 2.4 vs Strasbourg 2.3
- Goals Conceded (Avg): Marseille 2.0 vs Strasbourg 1.0
- Total Shots (Avg): Marseille 13.8 vs Strasbourg 10.4
- Shots on Goal (Avg): Marseille 6.4 vs Strasbourg 5.4
- Total Passes (Avg): Marseille 533 vs Strasbourg 510 The data reveals both teams are involved in high-scoring games on average. Marseille has a slightly more potent attack but a significantly leakier defense, conceding 2.0 goals per match compared to Strasbourg’s 1.0.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of recent form for both teams:
- Wins: Marseille 4 vs Strasbourg 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: Marseille 10 vs Strasbourg 9
- Over 2.5 Goals: Marseille 9 vs Strasbourg 8
- Over 3.5 Goals: Marseille 6 vs Strasbourg 4
- Both Teams Scored: Marseille 4 vs Strasbourg 8
- Unexpected Losses: Marseille 1 vs Strasbourg 0 Strasbourg shows slightly better recent form with more wins. Both teams are consistently involved in matches with multiple goals, with a very high frequency of games featuring over 1.5 and 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record: In their last 18 encounters, Strasbourg edges it with 9 wins to Marseille’s 8, with 1 draw.
- Recent Fixtures (Last 10 Meetings):
- 26 Sep 2025: Strasbourg 1-2 Marseille
- 19 Jan 2025: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
- 29 Sep 2024: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
- 12 Jan 2024: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
- 25 Nov 2023: Strasbourg 1-1 Marseille
- 12 Mar 2023: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
- 29 Oct 2022: Strasbourg 2-2 Marseille
- 21 May 2022: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
- 12 Dec 2021: Strasbourg 0-2 Marseille
- 30 Apr 2021: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg The head-to-head history is incredibly tight and competitive, with Strasbourg having a slight historical edge. Recent matches have been very close, featuring many draws and narrow victories.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Marseille: The slight favorite at home. Expected to take the initiative in attack, as shown by their higher predicted shot counts. Their main challenge will be shoring up a defense that concedes 2.0 goals on average. The predicted 3-1 scoreline relies on their attack outperforming their defensive frailties.
- Strasbourg: Have shown they can get results against Marseille historically. They are in better recent form and are more solid defensively on average. Their strategy will likely focus on being organized at the back and exploiting Marseille’s defensive weaknesses on the counter.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Marseille 3 – 1 Strasbourg
This match is forecasted to be a high-scoring encounter, as strongly indicated by the 10/10 confidence tip for Over 2.5 goals. While the head-to-head record is remarkably even and Strasbourg is in better form, Marseille’s home advantage and more potent attack (higher average goals scored and predicted shots) give them the edge. The 3-1 prediction captures the expectation of a Marseille win in a game where both teams’ defensive records suggest goals are likely.
Recommended Tips:
- Highest Confidence Bet: Over 2.5 Total Goals – The most compelling tip, strongly supported by both teams’ seasonal goal averages and recent form trends.
- Match Outcome: Marseille to Win – Supported by home advantage and slightly superior attacking metrics, though the H2H record advises caution.
- Scorecast: Marseille 3-1 – Aligns with the expectation of a home win in a match featuring several goals.
