Fixture Overview
- Competition: Premier League
- Date & Time: February 7, 23:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Burnley (€249.65m squad value) vs West Ham United (€376.25m squad value)
- Market Odds: Burnley (2.45) | Draw (2.55) | West Ham United (1.25)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value & Market Stance: West Ham United’s squad valuation (€376.25m) is significantly higher than Burnley’s (€249.65m). The betting market identifies West Ham as the clear favorite for an away victory.
- Key Prediction: The analysis strongly suggests a high-scoring affair, with a 9/10 confidence rating for Over 1.5 Total Goals.
Match Predictions & Key Tips
- Best Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals – Odds: 0.31, Confidence: 9/10
- 1×2 Tip: West Ham United to Win (2) – Odds: 1.25, Confidence: 3/10
- Total Goals: Over 1.5 – Odds: 0.31, Confidence: 8/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.72, Confidence: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: Draw or West Ham Win & Over 1.5 Goals (X2 & O1.5) – Odds: 0.71, Confidence: 1/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:2
- Correct Score Prediction: 2:3
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
The statistical model forecasts a closely contested match with a slight edge for West Ham in chance creation:
- Expected Goals (xG): Burnley 1.39 vs West Ham 1.17
- Ball Possession: Burnley 49% vs West Ham 51%
- Total Shots: Burnley 10 vs West Ham 13
- Shots on Goal: Burnley 2 vs West Ham 4
- Shots off Goal: Burnley 3 vs West Ham 4
- Corners: Both Teams 6 West Ham is projected to have a slight advantage in possession and shot volume, particularly in shots on target.
Seasonal Average Match Data
Analysis of average per-match statistics reveals two teams with similar offensive output but defensive vulnerabilities:
- Expected Goals (xG): Burnley 1.18 vs West Ham 1.06
- Total Goals (Avg): Burnley 3.2 vs West Ham 3.4
- Goals Scored (Avg): Both Teams 1.4
- Goals Conceded (Avg): Burnley 1.8 vs West Ham 2.0
- Possession (Avg): Burnley 45% vs West Ham 46%
- Total Shots (Avg): Burnley 10.1 vs West Ham 11.8
- Shots on Goal (Avg): Burnley 2.9 vs West Ham 3.7 Both teams average a high number of total goals per match (over 3.0), indicating leaky defenses and a tendency for open games.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of one team’s recent form (context suggests it is Burnley’s data):
- Wins: 3
- Over 1.5 Goals: 9 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 9 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 4 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 7 matches This form data confirms a strong trend towards high-scoring matches, with goals in 90%!o(MISSING)f recent games.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record (Last 10 Meetings): West Ham 5 Wins, Draw 5, Burnley 0 Wins.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 08 Nov 2025: West Ham 3-2 Burnley
- 10 Mar 2024: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
- 25 Nov 2023: Burnley 1-2 West Ham
- 17 Apr 2022: Burnley 1-1 West Ham
- 12 Dec 2021: West Ham 0-0 Burnley
- 03 May 2021: West Ham 1-2 Burnley
- 16 Jan 2021: Burnley 1-0 West Ham
- 08 Jul 2020: West Ham 0-1 Burnley
- 09 Nov 2019: West Ham 3-0 Burnley
- 30 Dec 2018: Burnley 2-0 West Ham West Ham holds a significant psychological advantage, being unbeaten in the last 10 head-to-head meetings (5 wins, 5 draws).
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- West Ham United: The marginal favorite based on market odds, squad value, and H2H dominance. They are expected to create slightly better chances (more shots on goal). Their historical edge over Burnley is a key factor.
- Burnley: While underdogs, their seasonal and recent form shows they are consistently involved in high-scoring games. They will look to leverage their home advantage. The data suggests they can score but also concede frequently.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Burnley 2 – 3 West Ham United
This match is forecasted to be an open, high-scoring encounter. The most compelling data point is the overwhelming confidence (9/10) in Over 1.5 goals, supported by both teams’ high average goals per game and recent form. While West Ham is favored to win based on odds and H2H record, Burnley’s attacking form suggests they will be dangerous. The predicted 2-3 correct score reflects expectations of a narrow West Ham victory in a match featuring goals from both sides.
Recommended Tips:
- Best Bet: Over 1.5 Total Goals – The strongest tip with 9/10 confidence, backed by overwhelming statistical and form-based evidence.
- Most Probable Outcome: West Ham United to Win – Supported by market status, H2H dominance, and slightly better predictive stats.
- Scorecast: Burnley 2-3 West Ham United – Aligns with the high-scoring trend and West Ham’s favoritism.
