Fixture Overview
- Competition: Premier League
- Date & Time: January 18, 01:30 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Nottingham Forest (€619.60m squad value) vs Arsenal (€1.29bn squad value)
- Market Odds: Nottingham Forest (5.6) | Draw (4.1) | Arsenal (1.57)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Arsenal’s squad valuation (€1.29bn) is more than double that of Nottingham Forest (€619.60m), highlighting a significant gap in financial power and player quality.
- Market Analysis: The betting market strongly favors an away victory for Arsenal, reflecting their status as heavy favorites.
- Fixture Note: A warning indicates that Arsenal has an upcoming match in a European competition, which may influence team selection or performance.
Predictions & Best Tips
- Best Tip: Arsenal to Win (2) – Odds: 1.57, Confidence: 10/10
- 1×2 Tip: Arsenal Win (2) – Odds: 1.57, Confidence: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 1.5 – Odds: 1.3, Confidence: 5/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Confidence: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: Draw or Arsenal & Over 1.5 Goals (X2 & O1.5) – Odds: 1.42, Confidence: 4/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 0:0
- Correct Score Prediction: 1:2
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
- Expected Goals (xG): Nottingham Forest 0.68 vs Arsenal 2.23
- Ball Possession: Nottingham Forest 36% vs Arsenal 64%
- Total Shots: Nottingham Forest 8 vs Arsenal 17
- Shots on Goal: Nottingham Forest 2 vs Arsenal 5
- Shots off Goal: Nottingham Forest 2 vs Arsenal 5
- Corners: Nottingham Forest 3 vs Arsenal 5
- Yellow Cards: Nottingham Forest 2 vs Arsenal 1 The statistical model forecasts clear dominance for Arsenal, projecting them to create over three times the quality of chances (xG) and control the game with vastly superior possession.
Seasonal Average Match Data
Analysis based on statistical averages per match:
- Expected Goals (xG): 1.06 vs 2.19
- Total Goals (Per Match Avg): 2.9 vs 3.2
- Goals Scored: 1.3 vs 2.3
- Goals Conceded: 1.6 vs 0.9
- Possession: 50% vs 59%
- Total Shots: 14.4 vs 17.3
- Shots on Goal: 5.3 vs 5.4
- Shots off Goal: 5.0 vs 6.5
- Fouls Committed: 11.5 vs 9.6
- Corners: 5.4 vs 5.6
- Offsides: 1.4 vs 1.8
- Yellow Cards: 2.0 vs 1.43
- Total Passes: 454 vs 475 The seasonal data underscores Arsenal’s clear superiority, averaging nearly double the Expected Goals, scoring more, conceding fewer, and controlling possession more effectively.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of a team’s recent form (inferred to be Nottingham Forest’s based on 4 wins in 10):
- Wins: 4
- Over 1.5 Goals: 8 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 7 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 4 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 7 matches
- Unexpected Wins: 0
- Unexpected Losses: 0 The team shows moderate form in terms of wins but is frequently involved in high-scoring matches where both teams often score.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Overall Record (Last 9 Meetings): Arsenal 7 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss.
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- 13 Sep 2025: Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest
- 26 Feb 2025: Arsenal 0-0 Nottingham Forest
- 23 Nov 2024: Nottingham Forest 0-3 Arsenal
- 30 Jan 2024: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal
- 12 Aug 2023: Arsenal 2-1 Nottingham Forest
- 20 May 2023: Nottingham Forest 1-0 Arsenal
- 30 Oct 2022: Arsenal 5-0 Nottingham Forest
- 09 Jan 2022: Nottingham Forest 1-0 Arsenal
- 24 Sep 2019: Arsenal 5-0 Nottingham Forest Arsenal holds a commanding historical advantage (7-1-1) in the last nine head-to-head meetings.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Arsenal: The clear favorite. Projected to dominate possession (64%) and chance creation (xG 2.23). Their superior seasonal metrics in attack (2.3 goals scored avg.) and defense (0.9 conceded avg.) should see them control the game. The predicted 1-2 scoreline suggests they may concede but have ample firepower to secure an away win, even with potential squad rotation due to European commitments.
- Nottingham Forest: Will likely rely on a resilient defensive setup and look to exploit Arsenal on the counter or from set-pieces. Their home advantage and recent form showing they can score (Both Teams Scored in 7 of last 10) give them hope of getting on the scoresheet, as the 1-2 prediction indicates.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Nottingham Forest 1 – 2 Arsenal
All data points decisively towards an Arsenal victory. The significant disparity in squad value, overwhelmingly superior predicted statistics, better seasonal metrics, and dominant head-to-head record all favor the away side. The main considerations are Arsenal’s potential European match rotation and Nottingham Forest’s ability to score at home, which supports the 1-2 prediction.
Recommended Tips:
- Most Probable Outcome: Arsenal to Win – The standout tip with maximum confidence (10/10), strongly supported by all data. The odds (1.57) offer good value for the predicted outcome.
- Scorecast: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal – The predicted correct score acknowledges Arsenal’s superiority and Forest’s potential to score in a match with goals.
- Consideration: The warning about Arsenal’s European match is a minor factor, but their squad depth should be sufficient to overcome Nottingham Forest.
