Fixture Overview
- Competition: English Premier League
- Date & Time: December 31, 03:30 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Nottingham Forest (€661.96m squad value) vs Everton (€400.85m squad value)
- Market Odds: 1 (2.3) | X (2.75) | 2 (1.15)
Key Statistical Insights
- Squad Value Disparity: Nottingham Forest’s squad valuation (€661.96m) is significantly higher than Everton’s (€400.85m), suggesting a potential quality advantage for the home side.
- Market Analysis: Despite Forest’s higher squad value, the betting market leans slightly towards Everton as favorites, indicating perceived recent form or tactical factors favoring the away team.
Predictions & Best Tips
- Best Tip: Under 3.5 Total Goals (U3.5) – Odds: 0.24, Confidence: 9/10
- 1×2 Tip: Nottingham Forest Win (1) – Odds: 1.15, Confidence: 6/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.24, Confidence: 9/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.86, Confidence: 5/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Under 4.5 Goals – Odds: 0.47, Confidence: 5/10
- Half-Time Score Prediction: 1:0
- Correct Score Prediction: 1:0
- Note: Statistical analysis indicates Nottingham Forest did not demonstrate superior performance in the most recent head-to-head encounter.
Statistical Predictions (Per Match)
The predictive model forecasts a closely contested match with Nottingham Forest holding a slight edge in most metrics:
- Expected Goals (xG): Nottingham Forest 1.26 vs Everton 0.85
- Ball Possession: Nottingham Forest 58% vs Everton 42%
- Total Shots: Nottingham Forest 14 vs Everton 9
- Shots on Target: Nottingham Forest 5 vs Everton 2
- Shots off Target: Nottingham Forest 5 vs Everton 3
- Corners: Nottingham Forest 6 vs Everton 4
- Yellow Cards: Both Teams 1 Nottingham Forest is projected to control the game with more possession, create higher-quality chances, and take more shots, particularly on target.
Seasonal Average Match Data
Analysis based on Nottingham Forest’s seasonal averages:
- Expected Goals (xG): 1.24 For, 0.95 Against
- Total Goals (Per Match Avg): 2.6
- Goals Scored: 1.6
- Goals Conceded: 1.0
- Possession: 49%
- Total Shots: 14.0 For, 10.2 Against
- Shots on Target: 5.3 For, 2.9 Against
- Shots off Target: 4.4 For, 4.0 Against
- Fouls: 10.6 Committed, 9.8 Conceded
- Corners: 5.8 For, 5.2 Against
- Offsides: 1.5
- Yellow Cards: 1.9
- Total Passes: 422 The data depicts Nottingham Forest as a team that typically scores more than it concedes, dominates shot creation, and enjoys a slight possession advantage.
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
Overview of Nottingham Forest’s recent form:
- Wins: 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: 8 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 7 matches
- Over 3.5 Goals: 1 match
- Both Teams Scored: 3 matches
- Unexpected Wins: 1
- Unexpected Losses: 0 This indicates a team in reasonably good form, frequently involved in matches with multiple goals, though not always from both sides.
Head-to-Head Record (H2H)
- Recent Fixtures (Most Recent First):
- Dec 06, 2025: Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest
- Apr 12, 2025: Everton 0-1 Nottingham Forest
- Dec 29, 2024: Nottingham Forest 0-2 Everton
- Apr 21, 2024: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Everton
- Dec 02, 2023: Everton 0-1 Nottingham Forest
- Mar 05, 2023: Nottingham Forest 2-2 Everton
- Aug 20, 2022: Everton 1-1 Nottingham Forest
- Recent H2H Summary: The head-to-head record is balanced in recent meetings, with both teams securing wins. The most recent match was a convincing 3-0 victory for Everton.
Tactical Analysis & Prediction
- Nottingham Forest: Expected to leverage their home advantage and higher average possession to control the tempo. Their superior seasonal goal-scoring average (1.6 vs ~1.1 conceded by Everton based on H2H) and shot metrics suggest they have the tools to break down Everton’s defense. The predicted 1-0 scoreline points towards a tight, controlled victory.
- Everton: Will likely look to be organized defensively and exploit any spaces on the counter-attack, especially given their comprehensive win in the last meeting. However, the statistical projections show them creating fewer high-quality chances in this fixture.
Final Verdict & Betting Insight
Predicted Score: Nottingham Forest 1 – 0 Everton
The pre-match data presents a compelling case for a narrow Nottingham Forest victory. Their significant advantage in squad value, projected dominance in key attacking and possession statistics, coupled with strong home form, outweighs Everton’s recent H2H result. The high-confidence tip for “Under 3.5 Goals” aligns with the predicted low-scoring outcome, suggesting a tactical rather than an open game.
Recommended Tips:
- Best Value Bet: Nottingham Forest to Win – Offers solid value at 1.15 odds, supported by statistical projections and home advantage.
- Top Safety Tip: Under 3.5 Total Goals – The strongest confidence rating (9/10) makes this the safest betting option, fitting the predicted 1-0 scoreline.
- Scorecast: Nottingham Forest 1-0 – Directly reflects the correct score prediction and statistical expectations of a close, low-scoring home win.
