Fixture Overview
- Competition: French Ligue 1
- Date & Time: December 14, 02:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Metz (€51.55m squad value) vs PSG (€1.15bn squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: PSG’s squad value (€1.15bn) dramatically exceeds Metz’s (€51.55m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 10 odds
- Draw: 5.5 odds
- Away Win: 0.27 odds PSG are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: AS2+ (Away Score 2+ Goals) – Odds: 0.25, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: PSG to Win (2) – Odds: 0.27, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.39, Rating: 5/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.77, Rating: 1/10
- Half-Time Score: 0:1
- Correct Score: 1:2 AI predicts narrow PSG victory with away scoring
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Expected Goals (xG): Metz 1.02 vs PSG 1.94
- Ball Possession: Metz 33% vs PSG 67%
- Total Shots: Metz 7 vs PSG 20
- Shots on Goal: Metz 3 vs PSG 7
- Shots Off Goal: Metz 3 vs PSG 8
- Corners: Metz 3 vs PSG 6 PSG is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Expected Goals: Metz 1.05 vs PSG 1.8
- Total Goals: Metz 3.1 vs PSG 3.1
- Goals Scored: Metz 1.0 vs PSG 2.2
- Goals Against: Metz 2.1 vs PSG 0.9
- Possession: Metz 50% vs PSG 70%
- Total Shots: Metz 8.6 vs PSG 19
- Shots on Goal: Metz 3.3 vs PSG 6.9
- Shots off Goal: Metz 4.1 vs PSG 7.5
- Fouls: Metz 10.7 vs PSG 9.6
- Corners: Metz 4 vs PSG 6.5
- Offsides: Metz 1.2 vs PSG 1.4
- Yellow Cards: Metz 1.88 vs PSG 1.2
- Total Passes: Metz 433 vs PSG 691 PSG demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Metz 3 vs PSG 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: Metz 8 vs PSG 7
- Over 2.5 Goals: Metz 6 vs PSG 7
- Over 3.5 Goals: Metz 4 vs PSG 6
- Both Teams Scored: Metz 4 vs PSG 3
- Unexpected Wins: Metz 0 vs PSG 1
- Unexpected Losses: Metz 0 vs PSG 1 PSG shows significantly better recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: PSG leads 14W-0D-0L
- Recent Results:
- May 19, 2024: Metz 0-2 PSG
- Dec 20, 2023: PSG 3-1 Metz
- May 21, 2022: PSG 5-0 Metz
- Sep 22, 2021: Metz 1-2 PSG
- Apr 24, 2021: Metz 1-3 PSG
- Sep 16, 2020: PSG 1-0 Metz
- Aug 30, 2019: Metz 0-2 PSG
- Mar 10, 2018: PSG 5-0 Metz PSG maintains perfect 14-0-0 historical record
Tactical Analysis
- PSG: Expected to dominate possession (67% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent offensive metrics (2.2 goals scored average, 1.94 xG) with solid defensive organization (0.9 goals against average).
- Metz: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and historical record.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: AS2+ (PSG to Score 2+ Goals) – 0.25 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 1:2 – AI’s predicted score
- Value Bet: PSG to Win – 0.27 odds, 10/10 rating
Final Prediction
Metz 1-2 PSG
PSG’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and perfect historical record (14-0-0) should secure a narrow victory. Metz’s defensive vulnerabilities (2.1 goals against average) and PSG’s expected 67% possession with 1.94 xG point to an away win, though Metz’s home advantage may help them score.
