Eastern AA vs Tai Po (HKG): Premier League Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date & Time: December 14, 18:00 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Eastern AA (€2.26m squad value) vs Tai Po (HKG) (€3.54m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Comparison: Tai Po’s squad value (€3.54m) slightly exceeds Eastern AA’s (€2.26m), indicating a relatively balanced matchup with Tai Po holding a modest financial advantage.
  2. Probability & Odds Analysis:
    • Home Win: 4.75 odds
    • Draw: 3.1 odds
    • Away Win: 0.42 odds Tai Po are clear favorites according to bookmakers
  3. AI Prediction Analysis:
    • Best Tip: Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 0.6, Rating: 10/10
    • Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Tai Po Win) – Odds: 0.42, Rating: 4/10
    • Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.6, Rating: 10/10
    • Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.71, Rating: 1/10
    • Bet Builder Tip: X2 & Over 2.5 Goals – Rating: 5/10
    • Half-Time Score Prediction: 0:1
    • Correct Score Prediction: 1:3

Statistical Predictions

Based on the stats predictions chart:

  • Ball Possession: Eastern AA 44% vs Tai Po 56%
  • Total Shots: Eastern AA 6 vs Tai Po 12
  • Shots on Goal: Eastern AA 2 vs Tai Po 5
  • Shots Off Goal: Eastern AA 2 vs Tai Po 6
  • Corners: Eastern AA 2 vs Tai Po 6
  • Yellow Cards: Eastern AA 2 vs Tai Po 1 Tai Po is expected to dominate all statistical categories

Average Match Data

  • Total Goals: 4.2 vs 3.4
  • Goals Scored: 0.8 vs 2.1
  • Goals Against: 3.4 vs 1.3
  • Possession: 45% vs 42%
  • Total Shots: 7 vs 10.1
  • Shots on Goal: 2.9 vs 4.1
  • Shots off Goal: 3.1 vs 5.8
  • Corners: 3.3 vs 5.5
  • Yellow Cards: 2.43 vs 2.29 Tai Po demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics

Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)

  • Wins: 5
  • Over 1.5 Goals: 8
  • Over 2.5 Goals: 7
  • Over 3.5 Goals: 4
  • Both Teams Scored: 6
  • Unexpected Wins: 1
  • Unexpected Losses: 0 Team shows moderate form with high-scoring tendencies

Head-to-Head Record

  • Historical Balance: Tai Po leads 6W-6D-8L
  • Recent Results​ (Most Recent First):
    • Oct 26, 2025: Tai Po 3-1 Eastern AA
    • Sep 6, 2025: Tai Po 3-1 Eastern AA
    • Apr 20, 2025: Tai Po 1-2 Eastern AA
    • Apr 13, 2025: Eastern AA 3-3 Tai Po
    • Mar 16, 2025: Tai Po 1-3 Eastern AA
    • Nov 2, 2024: Tai Po 1-1 Eastern AA
    • Oct 13, 2024: Tai Po 2-1 Eastern AA
    • Mar 2, 2024: Tai Po 1-0 Eastern AA
    • Aug 26, 2023: Eastern AA 0-1 Tai Po
    • Feb 4, 2023: Tai Po 1-2 Eastern AA Historical H2H shows competitive balance with Tai Po having slight advantage

Tactical Analysis

  • Tai Po: Expected to dominate possession (56% predicted), create more scoring opportunities (12 predicted shots vs 6), and control the midfield. Strong offensive output (2.1 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization (1.3 goals against average).
  • Eastern AA: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Underdogs based on statistics but capable of scoring at home.

Betting Recommendations

  • Safest Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – 0.6 odds, 10/10 rating
  • Alternative: Correct Score 1:3 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
  • Value Bet: X2 & Over 2.5 Goals – 5/10 rating

Final Prediction

Eastern AA 1-3 Tai Po (HKG)

Tai Po’s statistical dominance across all categories, better offensive metrics (2.1 goals scored average vs 0.8), and recent H2H form suggest a comfortable away victory. Eastern AA’s defensive vulnerabilities (3.4 goals against average) and Tai Po’s expected 56% possession with 12 predicted shots point to a high-scoring away win. The AI’s 10/10 rating for Over 2.5 goals indicates strong confidence in multiple goals being scored.

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