Fixture Overview
- Competition: Spanish La Liga
- Date & Time: December 14, 01:30 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Barcelona (€1.11bn squad value) vs Osasuna (€89.20m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: Barcelona’s squad value (€1.11bn) dramatically exceeds Osasuna’s (€89.20m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 0.22 odds (Extremely high probability)
- Draw: 6.25 odds
- Away Win: 12 odds Barcelona are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: H1 (Barcelona to Win 1st Half) – Odds: 0.55, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: Barcelona to Win (1) – Odds: 0.22, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.3, Rating: 9/10
- Both Teams To Score: 0.71 odds, Rating: 1/10
- Half-Time Score: 2:0
- Correct Score: 4:1 AI predicts comprehensive Barcelona victory with high scoring
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Expected Goals (xG): Barcelona 2.47 vs Osasuna 0.68
- Ball Possession: Barcelona 72% vs Osasuna 28%
- Total Shots: Barcelona 20 vs Osasuna 6
- Shots on Goal: Barcelona 7 vs Osasuna 1
- Shots Off Goal: Barcelona 6 vs Osasuna 2
- Corners: Barcelona 5 vs Osasuna 2
- Yellow Cards: Barcelona 1 vs Osasuna 2 Barcelona is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Expected Goals: Barcelona 2.11 vs Osasuna 1.45
- Total Goals: Barcelona 4.5 vs Osasuna 3.2
- Goals Scored: Barcelona 2.8 vs Osasuna 1.7
- Goals Against: Barcelona 1.7 vs Osasuna 1.5
- Possession: Barcelona 63% vs Osasuna 51%
- Total Shots: Barcelona 17 vs Osasuna 13.8
- Shots on Goal: Barcelona 6.2 vs Osasuna 4.9
- Shots off Goal: Barcelona 6 vs Osasuna 5.1
- Fouls: Barcelona 9.7 vs Osasuna 13.1
- Corners: Barcelona 4.5 vs Osasuna 4.6
- Offsides: Barcelona 2.1 vs Osasuna 0.8
- Yellow Cards: Barcelona 2 vs Osasuna 2.5
- Total Passes: Barcelona 621 vs Osasuna 395 Barcelona demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: 3
- Over 1.5 Goals: 7
- Over 2.5 Goals: 5
- Over 3.5 Goals: 5
- Both Teams Scored: 4
- Unexpected Wins: 0
- Unexpected Loses: 0 Team shows moderate form with high-scoring tendencies
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Barcelona leads 17W-3D-3L
- Recent Results:
- Mar 27, 2025: Barcelona 3-0 Osasuna
- Sep 28, 2024: Osasuna 4-2 Barcelona
- Jan 31, 2024: Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna
- Jan 11, 2024: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
- Sep 3, 2023: Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona
- May 2, 2023: Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna
- Nov 8, 2022: Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona
- Mar 13, 2022: Barcelona 4-0 Osasuna
- Dec 12, 2021: Osasuna 2-2 Barcelona Barcelona maintains overwhelming historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- Barcelona: Expected to dominate possession (72% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent offensive metrics (2.8 goals scored average, 2.11 xG) with solid defensive organization.
- Osasuna: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and statistics.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: H1 (Barcelona to Win 1st Half) – 0.55 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 4:1 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – 0.3 odds, 9/10 rating
Final Prediction
Barcelona 4-1 Osasuna
Barcelona’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage (17-3-3 H2H record) should secure a comprehensive victory. Osasuna’s defensive vulnerabilities (1.5 goals against average) and Barcelona’s expected 72% possession with 2.47 xG point to a high-scoring home win.
