Fixture Overview
- Competition: English Premier League
- Date & Time: December 4, 03:30 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Arsenal (€1.31bn squad value) vs Brentford (€434.90m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity:Arsenal’s squad value (€1.31bn) dramatically exceeds Brentford’s (€434.90m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 0.32 odds (Extremely high probability)
- Draw: 4.75 odds
- Away Win: 10.5 oddsArsenal are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: Arsenal to Win (1) – Odds: 0.32, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Arsenal Win) – Odds: 0.32, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.72, Rating: 5/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.68, Rating: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 3, Rating: 8/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:0, Full-Time 3:0
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Expected Goals (xG): Arsenal 1.93 vs Brentford 1.09
- Ball Possession: Arsenal 68% vs Brentford 32%
- Total Shots: Arsenal 14 vs Brentford 7
- Shots on Goal: Arsenal 6 vs Brentford 2
- Shots Off Goal: Arsenal 4 vs Brentford 2
- Corners: Arsenal 5 vs Brentford 3
- Yellow Cards: Arsenal 1 vs Brentford 2Arsenal is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Goals**: Arsenal 1.8 vs Brentford 1.72
- Total Goals: Arsenal 2.8 vs Brentford 3.4
- Goals Scored: Arsenal 2.3 vs Brentford 2.1
- Goals Against: Arsenal 0.5 vs Brentford 1.3
- Possession: Arsenal 56% vs Brentford 47%
- Total Shots: Arsenal 13.9 vs Brentford 11.8
- Shots on Goal: Arsenal 6.4 vs Brentford 4.8Arsenal demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Arsenal 8 vs Brentford 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: Arsenal 8 vs Brentford 9
- Over 5 Goals: Arsenal 5 vs Brentford 7
- Over 3.5 Goals: Arsenal 4 vs Brentford 6
- Both Teams Scored: Arsenal 4 vs Brentford 6
- Unexpected Results: None for either teamArsenal shows better recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Arsenal leads 7W-2D-1L
- Recent Results:
- Apr 12, 2025: Arsenal 1-1 Brentford
- Jan 1, 2025: Brentford 1-3 Arsenal
- Mar 9, 2024: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
- Nov 25, 2023: Arsenal 0-1 Brentford
- Sep 27, 2023: Arsenal 0-1 Arsenal
- Feb 11, 2023: Arsenal 1-1 Brentford
- Sep 18, 2022: Brentford 0-3 Arsenal
- Feb 19, 2022: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
- Aug 13, 2021: Arsenal 2-0 BrentfordArsenal maintains strong historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- Arsenal: Expected to dominate possession (68% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent defensive record (0.5 goals against average) provides solid foundation.
- Brentford: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Arsenal to Win – 0.32 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 3:0 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – 0.3 odds, 8/10 rating
Final Prediction
Arsenal 3-0 Brentford
Arsenal’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a comprehensive victory. Brentford’s defensive vulnerabilities (1.3 goals against average) suggest they will struggle to contain Arsenal’s attacking pressure.
