Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest: Premier League Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: English Premier League
  • Date & Time: November 22, 23:00 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Liverpool (€1.15bn squad value) vs Nottingham Forest (€644.70m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Disparity:Liverpool’s squad value (€1.15bn) dramatically exceeds Nottingham Forest’s (€644.70m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
  2. Probability & Odds Analysis:
    • Home Win: 0.45 odds (High probability)
    • Draw: 3.9 odds
    • Away Win: 6.5 oddsLiverpool are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
  3. AI Prediction Analysis:
    • Best Tip: Liverpool to Win (1) – Odds: 0.45, Rating: 10/10
    • Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Liverpool Win) – Odds: 0.45, Rating: 10/10
    • Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.57, Rating: 2/10
    • Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 1.0, Rating: 1/10
    • Bet Builder Tip: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – Odds: 0.31, Rating: 4/10
    • Score Prediction: Half-Time 2:0, Full-Time 3:0

Statistical Predictions

Based on the stats predictions chart:

  • Expected Goals: Liverpool 2.16 vs Nottingham 0.9
  • Ball Possession: Liverpool 66% vs Nottingham 34%
  • Total Shots: Liverpool 17 vs Nottingham 7
  • Shots on Goal: Liverpool 6 vs Nottingham 2
  • Shots Off Goal: Liverpool 6 vs Nottingham 2
  • Corners: Liverpool 5 vs Nottingham 2
  • Yellow Cards: Liverpool 1 vs Nottingham 2Liverpool is expected to dominate all statistical categories

Average Match Data

  • Total Goals: Liverpool 3.0 vs Nottingham 2.7
  • Goals Scored: Liverpool 1.3 vs Nottingham 1.1
  • Goals Against: Liverpool 1.7 vs Nottingham 1.6
  • Possession: Liverpool 58% vs Nottingham 51%
  • Total Shots: Liverpool 15.0 vs Nottingham 12.9
  • Shots on Goal: Liverpool 5.0 vs Nottingham 4.5Liverpool demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics

Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)

  • Wins: Liverpool 3 vs Nottingham 2
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Liverpool 8 vs Nottingham 8
  • Over 2.5 Goals: Liverpool 5 vs Nottingham 7
  • Over 3.5 Goals: Liverpool 2 vs Nottingham 4
  • Both Teams Scored: Liverpool 5 vs Nottingham 4
  • Unexpected Results: Liverpool 0 vs Nottingham 1Liverpool shows slightly better recent form

Head-to-Head Record

  • Historical Dominance: Liverpool leads 4W-1D-2L
  • Recent Results:
    • Jan 14, 2025: Nottingham 1-1 Liverpool
    • Sep 14, 2024: Liverpool 0-1 Nottingham
    • Mar 2, 2024: Nottingham 0-1 Liverpool
    • Oct 29, 2023: Liverpool 3-0 Nottingham
    • Apr 22, 2023: Nottingham 3-2 Liverpool
    • Oct 22, 2022: Nottingham 1-0 Liverpool
    • Mar 20, 2022: Liverpool 0-1 NottinghamLiverpool maintains historical advantage

Tactical Analysis

  • Liverpool: Expected to dominate possession (66% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Strong offensive output (1.3 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization.
  • Nottingham Forest: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.

Special Considerations

  • Warning: Liverpool has upcoming match in Europe which may affect team selection and performance

Betting Recommendations

  • Safest Bet: Liverpool to Win – 0.45 odds, 10/10 rating
  • Alternative: Correct Score 3:0 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
  • Value Bet: 1X & Over 1.5 Goals – 0.31 odds, 4/10 rating

Final Prediction

Liverpool 3-0 Nottingham Forest

Liverpool’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a comprehensive victory. Nottingham Forest’s defensive vulnerabilities (1.6 goals against average) suggest they will struggle to contain Liverpool’s attacking pressure.

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