Fixture Overview
- Competition: Spanish La Liga
- Date & Time: December 1, 04:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Girona (€155.20m squad value) vs Real Madrid (€1.40bn squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity:Real Madrid’s squad value (€1.40bn) dramatically exceeds Girona’s (€155.20m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: Real Madrid to Win (2) – Odds: 0.44, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Real Madrid Win) – Odds: 0.44, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.82, Rating: 3/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.61, Rating: 1/10
- Bet Builder Tip: X2 & Under 5.5 Goals – Odds: 0.33, Rating: 5/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 0:1, Full-Time 1:2
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Expected Goals (xG): Girona 1.1 vs Real Madrid 2.33
- Ball Possession: Girona 37% vs Real Madrid 63%
- Total Shots: Girona 8 vs Real Madrid 21
- Shots on Goal: Girona 3 vs Real Madrid 8
- Shots Off Goal: Girona 1 vs Real Madrid 7
- Corners: Girona 2 vs Real Madrid 7
- Yellow Cards: Girona 2 vs Real Madrid 1Real Madrid is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Expected Goals: Girona 1.11 vs Real Madrid 2.34
- Total Goals: Girona 2.9 vs Real Madrid 3.0
- Goals Scored: Girona 1.3 vs Real Madrid 2.2
- Goals Against: Girona 1.6 vs Real Madrid 0.8
- Possession: Girona 48% vs Real Madrid 60%
- Total Shots: Girona 8.3 vs Real Madrid 20.0
- Shots on Goal: Girona 3.4 vs Real Madrid 7.8Real Madrid demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Girona 3 vs Real Madrid 7
- Over 1.5 Goals: Girona 6 vs Real Madrid 6
- Over 2.5 Goals: Girona 6 vs Real Madrid 6
- Over 3.5 Goals: Girona 5 vs Real Madrid 5
- Both Teams Scored: Girona 4 vs Real Madrid 4
- Unexpected Results: None for either teamReal Madrid shows significantly better recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Real Madrid leads 8W-1D-3L
- Recent Results:
- Feb 23, 2025: Real Madrid 2-0 Girona
- Dec 7, 2024: Real Madrid 0-3 Girona
- Feb 10, 2024: Real Madrid 4-0 Girona
- Sep 30, 2023: Girona 0-3 Real Madrid
- Apr 25, 2023: Real Madrid 4-2 Girona
- Oct 30, 2022: Girona 1-1 Real Madrid
- Feb 17, 2019: Girona 1-2 Real Madrid
- Jan 31, 2019: Real Madrid 1-3 Girona
- Jan 24, 2019: Real Madrid 4-2 GironaReal Madrid maintains strong historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- Real Madrid: Expected to dominate possession (63% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent defensive record (0.8 goals against average) provides solid foundation.
- Girona: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Real Madrid to Win – 0.44 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 1:2 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: X2 & Under 5.5 Goals – 0.33 odds, 5/10 rating
Final Prediction
Girona 1-2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid’s superior squad value, statistical dominance across all categories, and historical advantage should secure a narrow victory. Girona’s defensive vulnerabilities (1.6 goals against average) suggest they will struggle to contain Real Madrid’s attacking pressure.
