Fixture Overview
- Competition: French Ligue 1
- Date & Time: October 30, 02:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Nice (€177.60m squad value) vs Lille (€215.60m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Comparison: Lille’s squad value (€215.60m) slightly exceeds Nice’s (€177.60m), indicating a relatively balanced matchup with Lille holding a modest advantage.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 1.48 odds
- Draw: 2.5 odds
- Away Win: 1.75 odds Lille are slight favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: AS (Away Score) – Odds: 0.27, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: Total Goals Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.8, Rating: 7/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.62, Rating: 6/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:1, Full-Time 2:3
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Ball Possession: Nice 46% vs Lille 54%
- Total Shots: Nice 9 vs Lille 13
- Shots on Goal: Nice 3 vs Lille 4
- Shots Off Goal: Nice 3 vs Lille 4
- Corners: Nice 3 vs Lille 5
- Yellow Cards: Nice 1 vs Lille 2 Lille is expected to dominate most statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Total Goals: Nice 3.3 vs Lille 3.7
- Goals Scored: Nice 1.4 vs Lille 1.9
- Goals Against: Nice 1.9 vs Lille 1.8
- Possession: Nice 45% vs Lille 58%
- Total Shots: Nice 10.4 vs Lille 16.9
- Shots on Goal: Nice 3.7 vs Lille 6.1 Lille demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Nice 3 vs Lille 6
- Over 1.5 Goals: Nice 8 vs Lille 9
- Over 2.5 Goals: Nice 6 vs Lille 4
- Over 3.5 Goals: Both teams 3
- Both Teams Scored: Nice 6 vs Lille 9
- Unexpected Results: Nice 0 vs Lille 1 Lille shows significantly better recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Lille leads 10W-14D-6L
- Recent Results:
- Jan 17, 2025: Lille 2-1 Nice
- Nov 10, 2024: Nice 2-2 Lille
- May 19, 2024: Lille 2-2 Nice
- Aug 11, 2023: Nice 1-1 Lille Lille maintains historical advantage with recent wins
Tactical Analysis
- Lille: Expected to dominate possession (54% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Strong offensive output (1.9 goals scored average) with solid defensive organization.
- Nice: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Home advantage may help but facing superior opposition.
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: AS (Away Score) – 0.27 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 2:3 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – 0.8 odds, 7/10 rating
Final Prediction
Nice 2-3 Lille
Lille’s superior squad value, statistical dominance, and better recent form should secure a narrow victory. Nice’s home advantage and scoring capability suggest they will score, but defensive vulnerabilities likely won’t withstand Lille’s attacking pressure.
