Fixture Overview
- Competition: Spanish La Liga
- Date & Time: October 19, 03:00 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Atletico Madrid (€623.80m squad value) vs Osasuna (€6823.80m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Comparison: Atletico Madrid’s squad value (€623.80m) significantly exceeds Osasuna’s (€6823.80m), reflecting a substantial quality advantage for the home side.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 0.37 odds (High probability)
- Draw: 3.95 odds
- Away Win: 8.5 odds Atletico Madrid are clear favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: Atletico Madrid to Win (1) – Odds: 0.37, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Atletico Madrid Win) – Odds: 0.37, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 1.5 – Odds: 0.27, Rating: 4/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.64, Rating: 2/10
- Bet Builder Tip: 1 & Under 4.5 Goals – Odds: 0.61, Rating: 2/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:0, Full-Time 2:0
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Ball Possession: Atletico Madrid 65% vs Osasuna 35%
- Total Shots: Atletico Madrid 14 vs Osasuna 5
- Shots on Goal: Atletico Madrid 6 vs Osasuna 1
- Shots Off Goal: Atletico Madrid 4 vs Osasuna 3
- Corners: Atletico Madrid 6 vs Osasuna 1
- Yellow Cards: Both teams 1 Atletico Madrid is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Total Goals: Atletico Madrid 3.6 vs Osasuna 2.1
- Goals Scored: Atletico Madrid 2.2 vs Osasuna 1.2
- Goals Against: Atletico Madrid 1.4 vs Osasuna 0.9
- Possession: Atletico Madrid 53% vs Osasuna 44%
- Total Shots: Atletico Madrid 12.5 vs Osasuna 8.8
- Shots on Goal: Atletico Madrid 5.7 vs Osasuna 2.8 Atletico Madrid demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: Atletico Madrid 5 vs Osasuna 4
- Over 1.5 Goals: Atletico Madrid 7 vs Osasuna 5
- Over 2.5 Goals: Atletico Madrid 4 vs Osasuna 4
- Over 3.5 Goals: Atletico Madrid 0 vs Osasuna 9
- Both Teams Scored: Atletico Madrid 4 vs Osasuna 0
- Unexpected Results: None for either team Atletico Madrid shows better recent form
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: Atletico Madrid leads 18W-1D-3L
- Recent Results:
- May 15, 2025: Osasuna 2-0 Atletico Madrid
- Jan 12, 2025: Osasuna 1-0 Atletico Madrid
- May 19, 2024: Osasuna 1-4 Atletico Madrid
- Sep 28, 2023: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid maintains strong historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- Atletico Madrid: Expected to dominate possession (65% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Solid defensive organization (1.4 goals against average) provides strong foundation.
- Osasuna: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.
Special Considerations
- Warning: Atletico Madrid has upcoming match in Europe which may affect team selection and performance
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win – 0.37 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 2:0 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Over 1.5 Goals – 0.27 odds, 4/10 rating
Final Prediction
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Osasuna
Atletico Madrid’s superior squad value, statistical dominance, and historical advantage should secure a comfortable victory. Osasuna’s defensive organization may help limit the scoreline, but Atletico’s attacking quality likely proves decisive.
