Fixture Overview
- Competition: French Ligue 1
- Date & Time: September 28, 04:05 (GMT+8)
- Teams: PSG (€1.13bn squad value) vs Auxerre (€60.90m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: PSG’s squad value (€1.13bn) dramatically exceeds Auxerre’s (€60.90m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 0.17 odds (Extremely high probability)
- Draw: 7.4 odds
- Away Win: 14.0 odds PSG are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: H1 (PSG to Win) – Odds: 0.44, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: 1×2 Tip (PSG Win) – Odds: 0.17, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 – Odds: 0.3, Rating: 3/10
- Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: 0.93, Rating: 1/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 2:0, Full-Time 3:1
Statistical Predictions
Based on the stats predictions chart:
- Ball Possession: PSG 74% vs Auxerre 26%
- Total Shots: PSG 17 vs Auxerre 6
- Shots on Goal: PSG 6 vs Auxerre 2
- Corners: PSG 6 vs Auxerre 2
- Yellow Cards: PSG 1 vs Auxerre 2 PSG is expected to dominate all statistical categories
Average Match Data
- Total Goals: PSG 3.1 vs Auxerre 2.7
- Goals Scored: PSG 2.2 vs Auxerre 1.0
- Goals Against: PSG 0.9 vs Auxerre 1.7
- Possession: PSG 69% vs Auxerre 42%
- Total Shots: PSG 14.5 vs Auxerre 8.5
- Shots on Goal: PSG 6 vs Auxerre 3 PSG demonstrates superior offensive and defensive metrics
Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)
- Wins: PSG 4 vs Auxerre 7
- Over 1.5 Goals: Both teams 7/7 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: PSG 6 vs Auxerre 5
- Over 3.5 Goals: PSG 3 vs Auxerre 2
- Both Teams Scored: PSG 5 vs Auxerre 0 PSG shows strong recent form with high-scoring matches
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Dominance: PSG leads 5-2-2
- Recent Results:
- May 17, 2025: PSG 3-1 Auxerre
- Dec 6, 2024: PSG 0-0 Auxerre
- May 21, 2023: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
- Nov 13, 2022: PSG 5-0 Auxerre PSG maintains strong historical advantage
Tactical Analysis
- PSG: Expected to dominate possession (74% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Excellent defensive record (0.9 goals against average) provides solid foundation.
- Auxerre: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.
Special Considerations
- Warning: PSG has upcoming match in Europe which may affect team selection and performance
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: PSG to Win – 0.17 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 3:1 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Value Bet: Over 2.5 Goals – 0.3 odds, 3/10 rating
Final Prediction
PSG 3-1 Auxerre
PSG’s superior squad value, statistical dominance, and historical advantage should secure a comfortable victory. Auxerre may manage a consolation goal, but their defensive vulnerabilities likely won’t withstand PSG’s attacking pressure.
