​Israel vs Italy: World Cup Qualification Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: FIFA World Cup Qualification (UEFA)
  • Date & Time: September 9, 03:45 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Israel (€87.3m squad value) vs Italy (€727.5m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Disparity: Italy’s squad value (€727.5m) dramatically exceeds Israel’s (€87.3m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and depth.
  2. Predicted Match Stats:
    • Ball Possession: Israel 36% vs Italy 64%
    • Total Shots: Israel 6 vs Italy 19
    • Shots on Goal: Israel 2 vs Italy 6
    • Corners: Israel 2 vs Italy 6 Italy is expected to dominate all statistical categories
  3. Average Match Data:
    • Total Goals: 3.2 vs 3.6 (high-scoring expectation)
    • Goals Scored: 1.6 vs 2.1 (Italy averages higher offensive output)
    • Goals Against: 1.6 vs 1.5 (similar defensive records)
    • Possession: 44% vs 55% (Italy controls more possession)
    • Total Shots: 10.1 vs 13.9 (Italy creates more chances)
  4. Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)​:
    • Wins: 5 vs 5 (equal recent performance)
    • Over 1.5 Goals: 7 vs 9 matches
    • Over 2.5 Goals: 7 vs 8 matches
    • Both Teams Scored: 6 vs 6 matches Both teams show similar recent form with high-scoring tendencies
  5. Head-to-Head Record:
    • Historical Dominance: Italy leads 4W-0D-0L
    • Recent Results:
      • Oct 14, 2024: Italy 4-1 Israel
      • Sep 9, 2024: Israel 1-2 Italy
      • Sep 5, 2017: Italy 1-0 Israel
      • Sep 5, 2016: Israel 1-3 Italy Italy maintains perfect historical record against Israel

Tactical Analysis

  • Italy: Expected to control possession (64% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities
  • Israel: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities

Betting Tips Summary

  • Best Tip: Italy to Win (2) – Odds: 0.42, Rating: 10/10
  • Alternative: Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 0.70, Rating: 6/10
  • Score Prediction: Half-Time 0:1, Full-Time 1:2

Final Prediction

Israel 1-2 Italy

Italy’s superior squad value, statistical dominance, and perfect historical record should secure victory, though Israel may manage a consolation goal given both teams’ scoring trends.

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