Fixture Overview
- Competition: Italian Serie A
- Date & Time: September 22, 03:45 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Inter Milan (€589.70m squad value) vs Sassuolo (€175.50m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: Inter’s squad value (€589.70m) dramatically exceeds Sassuolo’s (€175.50m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
- Probability & Odds Analysis:
- Home Win: 58% probability (1.28 odds)
- Draw: 24% probability (5.5 odds)
- Away Win: 18% probability (9.75 odds) Inter are overwhelming favorites according to bookmakers
- Recent Form Analysis:
- Inter Last 6:
- 1W-0D-2L in recent matches
- Avg Goals: 3.0 scored, 2.0 conceded
- 100% of matches Over 1.5 goals
- 66% of matches Under 3.5 goals
- Sassuolo Last 6:
- 1W-0D-2L in recent matches
- Avg Goals: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded
- 66% of matches Over 1.5 goals
- 100% of matches Under 3.5 goals
- Inter Last 6:
- Head-to-Head Record:
- Historical Balance: 3W-0D-3L in last 6 meetings
- Recent Results:
- May 4, 2024: Sassuolo 1-0 Inter
- Sep 27, 2023: Inter 1-2 Sassuolo
- May 13, 2023: Inter 4-2 Sassuolo
- Avg Goals: 1.5 per match
- 83% of matches Over 1.5 goals
- 100% of matches Under 3.5 goals
AI Prediction Analysis
- Best Tip: Inter to Win (1) – Odds: 1.28, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: N/A, Rating: 8/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:0, Full-Time 3:1
- Both Teams to Score: Yes – Probability: 68%
Tactical Analysis
- Inter: Despite mixed recent form, shows strong offensive capabilities (3.0 goals per game). Expected to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities at home.
- Sassuolo: Demonstrates defensive organization (0.7 goals conceded) but limited attacking threat. Likely to adopt defensive tactics and seek counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Match Facts
- Inter positioned 14th (3 points) vs Sassuolo’s 13th (3 points)
- 83% probability of match having Over 1.5 goals
- 100% probability of match staying Under 3.5 goals
- Historical H2H shows perfect balance (3 wins each)
- Both teams have no tournament congestion
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Inter to Win – 1.28 odds, 10/10 rating
- Alternative: Correct Score 3:1 – Supported by statistical data
- Value Bet: Both Teams to Score – Yes
Final Prediction
Inter 3-1 Sassuolo
Inter’s superior squad value and home advantage should secure a victory. Sassuolo’s defensive organization may limit the scoreline, but Inter’s offensive firepower likely proves too strong. Both teams’ scoring patterns suggest Sassuolo may grab a consolation goal.
