Fixture Overview
- Competition: Chinese Super League
- Date & Time: September 12, 20:35 (GMT+8)
- Teams: Chengdu B (€10.07m squad value) vs Changchun (€3.62m squad value)
Key Statistical Insights
- Team Value Disparity: Chengdu B’s squad value (€10.07m) significantly exceeds Changchun’s (€3.62m), reflecting a substantial gap in player quality and resources.
- AI Prediction Analysis:
- Best Tip: Home Win (H1) – Odds: 0.4, Rating: 10/10
- Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Home Win) – Odds: 0.15, Rating: 10/10
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.78, Rating: 5/10
- Both Teams To Score: No – Odds: 0.6, Rating: 6/10
- Score Prediction: Half-Time 0:0, Full-Time 2:0
- Predicted Match Stats:
- Ball Possession: Chengdu B 66% vs Changchun 34%
- Total Shots: Chengdu B 18 vs Changchun 7
- Shots on Goal: Chengdu B 6 vs Changchun 2
- Corners: Chengdu B 4 vs Changchun 2 Chengdu B is expected to dominate all statistical categories
- Average Match Data:
- Total Goals: 2.7 vs 2.0
- Goals Scored: 2.1 vs 0.8 (Chengdu B averages higher offensive output)
- Goals Against: 0.6 vs 1.2 (Chengdu B shows superior defensive organization)
- Possession: 50% vs 41%
- Total Shots: 15.3 vs 9.2
- Form Guide (Last 10 Matches):
- Wins: 3/10 matches
- Over 1.5 Goals: 6/10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals: 4/10 matches
- Both Teams Scored: 5/10 matches Moderate scoring form with consistent offensive performance
- Head-to-Head Record:
- Aggregate: Changchun 4W-2D-2L
- Recent Results: Chengdu B won the last two encounters (Apr 2025 and Aug 2024) Historical balance favors Changchun but recent form favors Chengdu B
Tactical Analysis
- Chengdu B: Expected to dominate possession (66% predicted), utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities through controlled buildup
- Changchun: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek counter-attacking opportunities
Betting Recommendations
- Safest Bet: Home Win (0.4 odds) – 10/10 rating
- Value Bet: Correct Score 2:0 – Strongly supported by AI prediction
- Alternative: Under 3.5 Goals – Good value given statistical data
Final Prediction
Chengdu B 2-0 Changchun
Chengdu B’s superior squad value, statistical dominance, and recent H2H form should secure a comfortable victory. The clean sheet prediction aligns with Chengdu’s strong defensive record.
