Benfica vs Qarabag: UEFA Champions League Match Preview & Analysis

Fixture Overview

  • Competition: UEFA Champions League
  • Date & Time: September 17, 04:00 (GMT+8)
  • Teams: Benfica (€332.00m squad value) vs Qarabag (€24.95m squad value)

Key Statistical Insights

  1. Team Value Disparity: Benfica’s squad value (€332.00m) dramatically exceeds Qarabag’s (€24.95m), highlighting an enormous gap in player quality and resources.
  2. AI Prediction Analysis:
    • Best Tip: Benfica to Win (1) – Odds: 0.2, Rating: 10/10
    • Alternative: 1×2 Tip (Benfica Win) – Odds: 0.2, Rating: 10/10
    • Total Goals: Under 3.5 – Odds: 0.62, Rating: 3/10
    • Both Teams To Score: Yes – Odds: N/A, Rating: 1/10
    • Score Prediction: Half-Time 1:0, Full-Time 2:1
  3. Average Match Statistics:
    • Total Goals: 2.0 (range: 2-3)
    • Goals Scored: 1.6 (range: 1.6-2.0)
    • Goals Against: 0.4 (range: 0.4-1.0) Benfica demonstrates strong offensive output and excellent defensive organization
  4. Form Guide (Last 10 Matches)​:
    • Wins: 8 vs 6
    • Over 1.5 Goals: 8 vs 7
    • Over 2.5 Goals: 8 vs 5
    • Over 3.5 Goals: 8 vs 4
    • Both Teams Scored: 8 vs 5
    • Unexpected Wins: 0 vs 0
    • Unexpected Losses: 1 vs 1 Benfica shows superior recent form across all metrics

Tactical Analysis

  • Benfica: Expected to dominate possession, utilize technical superiority, and create numerous scoring opportunities. Strong defensive record (0.4 goals against average) provides solid foundation.
  • Qarabag: Likely to adopt defensive tactics, focus on containment, and seek rare counter-attacking opportunities. Significant underdogs based on squad value and form.

Key Match Facts

  • Benfica’s squad value exceeds Qarabag’s by over €300m
  • AI predictions strongly favor Benfica victory (10/10 rating)
  • Benfica shows excellent defensive organization (0.4 goals against average)
  • High probability of under 3.5 goals (statistical data support)
  • Benfica maintains superior form in last 10 matches

Betting Recommendations

  • Safest Bet: Benfica to Win – 0.2 odds, 10/10 rating
  • Alternative: Half-Time 1:0 – Supported by AI prediction
  • Score Prediction: 2-1 to Benfica – Aligns with statistical data

Final Prediction

Benfica 2-1 Qarabag

Benfica’s superior squad value, excellent defensive record, and strong recent form should secure a victory. While Qarabag may manage a consolation goal, the quality gap suggests a comfortable home win for Benfica.

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