Match Overview
- Teams: Newcastle (€676.90m) vs Liverpool (€1.04bn)
- Competition: Premier League
- Date & Time: 26 August, 03:00 (Local Time)
- Venue: St James’ Park
- Value Gap: 1.5x advantage for Liverpool
Key Betting Odds
| Market | Newcastle | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (Full-Time) | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.02 |
Professional Betting Assessment
- Best Tip: Liverpool Win (2) @1.02 (6/10 Confidence) ✅
- Rationale: 1.5x squad value advantage and superior H2H record (17 wins in last 29 meetings)
- Alternative: Over 2.5 Goals @0.5 (2/10 Confidence)
- Justification: 9 of last 10 Liverpool matches had Over 2.5 goals
- Both Teams to Score: Yes @0.46 (3/10 Confidence)
- Analysis: BTTS occurred in 10 of last 10 Liverpool matches
- Score Prediction: HT 1-0, FT 2-1
- Supporting Evidence: Aligns with recent H2H trends and statistical data
⚠️ Warning: “Avoid first matches from a league!”– Early-season unpredictability
Statistical Insights
Liverpool’s Recent Form (Last 10 Matches)
| Statistic | Performance |
|---|---|
| Wins | 4/10 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| Both Teams Scored | 10/10 |
Head-to-Head History
- 16-Mar-25: Liverpool 1-2 Newcastle
- 26-Feb-25: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
- 04-Dec-24: Newcastle 3-3 Liverpool
- 01-Jan-24: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle
- Aggregate: Liverpool leads 17-7-5 (W-D-L)
Current Standings
- Liverpool: 3rd (3 points, +2 GD)
- Newcastle: 12th (0 points, -1 GD)
Tactical Analysis
Liverpool’s Advantages
- Financial Superiority: €1.04bn squad depth
- H2H Dominance: 17 wins in last 29 meetings
- Attacking Threat: Scored 4 goals in last H2H win
- Form Consistency: Over 2.5 goals in 90% of recent matches
Newcastle’s Challenges
- Underdog Status: €676.90m squad faces quality gap
- Defensive Issues: Conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings
- Inconsistency: 0 points after first matchday
Recommended Bets
- Safest Bet: Liverpool Win @1.02
- Value Pick: Correct Score 2-1 @7.50
- Alternative: HT/FT Liverpool/Liverpool @1.40
Final Prediction: Liverpool to win 2-1 (HT: 1-0)
