Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction (La Liga – May 25, 2025)

A critical La Liga clash awaits at Estadi Montilivi, as Girona face off against top-four contenders Atletico Madrid on May 25, 2025. While Girona are fighting for league survival, Atletico arrive looking to secure Champions League qualification — a fixture that promises intensity, tactics, and possibly goals.

📊 League Standings Before Kickoff

  • Girona: 15th place, 41 points
  • Atletico Madrid: 3rd place, 73 points

The table tells a story of two teams in very different chapters. Girona’s season has been a rollercoaster, while Atletico continue to be a model of consistency at the top.


💰 Squad Value Comparison

  • Girona: €180.7 million
  • Atletico Madrid: €515.8 million

This difference in squad valuation reflects the depth, experience, and expectations on either side of the pitch.


🔁 Last Meeting Recap

In a surprise result, Girona stunned Atletico 4-3 back in January 2024 — their only win in the last five head-to-head encounters. Can lightning strike twice?


📊 Key Match Stats

CategoryGironaAtletico Madrid
Average Possession47%53%
Total Shots911
Shots on Target34
Goals Conceded (avg)1.60.9
Home Wins This Season5N/A
Home Clean Sheets20%N/A

Girona have struggled at home — winning just 5 games and conceding in 80% of matches. Atletico, meanwhile, have proven efficient travelers.


📈 La Liga Trends & Scoring Odds

  • Home Win Rate: 44.8%
  • Away Win Rate: 28.0%
  • Average Goals/Game: 2.7
  • Atletico Games Over 2.5 Goals: 58%

While Girona’s upset of Barcelona (4-2) last December proves surprises can happen, Atletico’s form and firepower point to a more one-sided outcome here.


🔮 Match Prediction

  • Half-Time Score: 0–1 Atletico Madrid
  • Full-Time Score: 0–3 Atletico Madrid
  • Recommended Bets:
    • Atletico to Win
    • Over 2.5 Total Goals
    • Atletico Win to Nil

📝 Conclusion

Girona have shown flashes of brilliance, but with a leaky defense and poor home form, they may struggle to contain a well-drilled and motivated Atletico Madrid side. Expect Diego Simeone’s team to control the tempo, exploit weaknesses, and leave with all three points.

Prediction: Atletico Madrid to win 3–0.

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